Texans vs. Jaguars prediction: Jacksonville favored to win in NFL Week 3, 2025

NFL Week 3 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Houston Texans square off with the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Stadium.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Jaguars as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Texans-Jaguars game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Jaguars with a win probability of 57%, while the Texans have 43%."

This gameday Texans vs. Jaguars betting preview builds on my Texans vs. Jaguars prediction that was published earlier in the week.

For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Texans vs. Jaguars predictions page.

Texans vs. Jaguars Predictions

Since our Texans-Jaguars predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Texans and Jaguars 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Jaguars a 57% chance of beating the Texans in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Jaguars winning 22-20.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Texans and Jaguars each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 43.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Texans vs. Jaguars odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Texans	Jaguars
Spread	+1.5 (-115)	-1.5 (-102)
Moneyline	+100	-116
Total	o43.5 (-102)	u43.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Texans vs. Jaguars picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Texans vs. Jaguars matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Texans vs. Jaguars TD scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Texans vs. Jaguars?

According to our model, Houston's Nick Chubb is most likely to score the first TD in Texans vs. Jaguars.

Our projections give Chubb a 10.5% chance of scoring the first TD at EverBank Stadium, while the Texans running back is a 43.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Houston Texans

Player	First TD Probability
Nick Chubb (RB)	10.5%
Nico Collins (WR)	8.4%
Christian Kirk (WR)	4.4%

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player	First TD Probability
Travis Etienne (RB)	9.9%
Brian Thomas (WR)	9.3%
Bhayshul Tuten (RB)	6.4%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Houston Texans

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Nick Chubb (RB)	43.5%
Nico Collins (WR)	36.8%
Christian Kirk (WR)	21.3%

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Travis Etienne (RB)	37.8%
Brian Thomas (WR)	36.0%
Bhayshul Tuten (RB)	26.4%

Texans vs Jaguars player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Texans and Jaguars. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Texans-Jaguars page now to access every player prop projection.

Texans vs. Jaguars quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence.

Texans rushing

Nick Chubb, Woody Marks and C.J. Stroud are projected to be the leading rushers for the Texans.

Player	Position
Nick Chubb	RB
Woody Marks	RB
C.J. Stroud	QB

Jaguars rushing

Travis Etienne, Bhayshul Tuten and Trevor Lawrence are expected to lead the Jaguars in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Travis Etienne	RB
Bhayshul Tuten	RB
Trevor Lawrence	QB

Texans receiving

Nico Collins, Christian Kirk, Dalton Schultz, Jayden Higgins and Xavier Hutchinson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Texans.

Player	Position
Nico Collins	WR
Christian Kirk	WR
Dalton Schultz	TE
Jayden Higgins	WR
Xavier Hutchinson	WR

Jaguars receiving

Brian Thomas, Travis Hunter, Dyami Brown, Brenton Strange and Travis Etienne are projected to lead the Jaguars in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Brian Thomas	WR
Travis Hunter	WR
Dyami Brown	WR
Brenton Strange	TE
Travis Etienne	RB

Texans vs. Jaguars game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 3 matchup between the Jaguars and Texans at EverBank Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
• Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: EverBank Stadium

Dimers' in-depth preview of this week's Texans vs. Jaguars matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Texans vs. Jaguars picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Jaguars, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Texans in Week 3 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texans vs. Jaguars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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