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Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction: Golden State to Win, Stephen Curry Projected for 30 Points in Game 6 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Friday's Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Game 6 matchup.
The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets will lock horns in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Chase Center on Friday, with tipoff at 9:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Warriors as the most likely winner of Game 6.
"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Houston-Golden State game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.
"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Warriors' chance of winning is 66%, while the Rockets' is 34%."
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature stars like Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Brandin Podziemski, while the Rockets will be led by Alperen Sengun, Jalen Green and Fred VanVleet.
For expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Rockets vs. Warriors predictions page.
Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction: Who Will Win Game 6?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA Playoffs game between the Rockets and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Warriors a 66% chance of beating the Rockets in Game 6 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 107-102.
According to our model, the Rockets (+5.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 208.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.
Rockets vs. Warriors Game 6 Odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rockets | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-105) | -5.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +198 | -235 |
| Total | o208.5 (-110) | u208.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Boost your NBA betting by exploring the latest NBA betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.
Rockets vs. Warriors Picks and Best Bets for Game 6
Our model's biggest edge in today's Rockets vs. Warriors matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Rockets vs. Warriors Game 6 Player Props
Looking for Houston vs. Golden State NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Alperen Sengun is expected to lead the Rockets with 21 points, 12 rebounds and 6 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 30 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Warriors.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.
Rockets vs. Warriors Game 6 Updates and Essential Details
Friday's Game 6 between the Warriors and Rockets in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 9:00PM ET.
- Who: Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Friday, May 2, 2025
- Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
- NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to determine the league's champion.
Sixteen teams, including the Rockets and Warriors, reached the 2025 NBA Playoffs, which spans four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's full preview of Friday's Rockets vs. Warriors matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Houston vs. Golden State picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Rockets on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Keep up with the latest NBA news and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds provide the latest predictions for the NBA title.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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