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Astros vs. Rangers Prediction: Texas Predicted to Win Thursday's MLB Matchup [5/15/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers matchup.

Houston Astros-Texas Rangers Predictions and Game Preview.
Globe Life Field sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers this Thursday.

MLB action continues on Thursday at 8:05PM ET as the Houston Astros take on the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field.

The Rangers will start Jacob deGrom (3-1, 2.72 ERA), while the Astros are going with Hunter Brown (6-1, 1.48 ERA).

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Rangers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Houston-Texas game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Rangers with a win probability of 55% and the Astros with 45%."

For further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Astros vs. Rangers predictions page.

Rangers vs. Astros Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB game between the Astros and Rangers 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Rangers a 55% chance of beating the Astros.

According to our model, the Astros (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the 6.5-run over/under has a 56% chance of going over.

 

Astros vs. Rangers Odds [5/15/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Astros Rangers
Run Line +1.5 (-200) -1.5 (+168)
Moneyline +115 -126
Total o6.5 (-118) u6.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Astros vs. Rangers Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Astros vs. Rangers matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Today

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the predictions featured below.

Astros vs. Rangers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB matchup between the Rangers and Astros at Globe Life Field is scheduled to begin at 8:05PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Astros vs. Rangers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Houston vs. Texas picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Rangers, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Astros on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Astros vs. Rangers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay informed with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the latest projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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