Astros vs. Red Sox Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win Sunday's MLB Matchup [8/3/2025]

The Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros will lock horns in MLB action at Fenway Park on Sunday, starting at 11:35AM ET.

Lucas Giolito (7-2, 3.80 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Red Sox, while the Astros have opted for Framber Valdez (11-4, 2.62 ERA).

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Astros as the most likely winner of today's game. "Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Astros-Red Sox game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Astros with a win probability of 56%, while the Red Sox have 44%."

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Astros vs. Red Sox predictions page.

Red Sox vs. Astros Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Astros and Red Sox 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Astros a 56% chance of beating the Red Sox.

According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 52% chance of going over.

Astros vs. Red Sox Odds [8/3/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Astros	Red Sox
Run Line	-1.5 (+129)	+1.5 (-150)
Moneyline	-130	+110
Total	o8 (-113)	u8 (-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Astros vs. Red Sox Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Astros vs. Red Sox matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Astros vs. Red Sox Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB matchup between the Red Sox and Astros at Fenway Park is scheduled to commence at 11:35AM ET.

• Who: Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox
• Date: Sunday, August 3, 2025
• Time: 11:35AM ET/8:35AM PT
• Venue: Fenway Park

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Astros vs. Red Sox matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Astros vs. Red Sox picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Astros, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Astros vs. Red Sox insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the latest probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.