Geelong Cats vs. Hawthorn Hawks prediction: Cats favored to win Friday's AFL Round 27 matchup [9/19/2025]

AFL action continues on Friday at 5:40AM ET as the Hawthorn Hawks lock horns with the Geelong Cats at Melbourne Cricket Ground.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Cats as the most likely winner of today's game.

For a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Hawks vs. Cats predictions page.

Cats vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win Round 27 game?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL matchup between the Hawks and Cats 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Cats a 62% chance of beating the Hawks.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Hawks and Cats each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 164.5- over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Hawthorn vs. Geelong odds

We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Hawks	Cats
H2H (Moneyline)	+150	-189
Line (Spread)	+9.5 (-120)	-9.5 (-105)
Total	o164.5 (-120)	u164.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Cats vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details

Friday's Australian rules football action between the Cats and Hawks at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 5:40AM ET.

• Who: Hawthorn Hawks vs. Geelong Cats
• Date: Friday, September 19, 2025
• Time: 5:40AM ET/2:40AM PT
• Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Dimers' full preview of Friday's Hawks vs. Cats matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Hawthorn vs. Geelong picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Cats, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Cats insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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