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Packers vs. Cowboys prediction: Green Bay favored to win SNF Week 4, 2025

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys predictions for NFL Sunday.

Green Bay Packers-Dallas Cowboys Predictions and Game Preview.
Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL prediction for Sunday, September 28, 2025.

NFL Week 4 action continues on Sunday at 8:20PM ET as the favored Green Bay Packers lock horns with the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Packers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Packers-Cowboys game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Packers with a win probability of 69%, while the Cowboys have 31%."

This gameday Packers vs. Cowboys betting preview builds on my Packers vs. Cowboys prediction that was released earlier in the week.

For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Packers vs. Cowboys predictions page.

Packers vs. Cowboys Predictions

Since our Packers-Cowboys predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Packers and Cowboys 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Packers a 69% chance of defeating the Cowboys in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 26-20.

According to our model, the Cowboys (+7) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

 

Packers vs. Cowboys odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Packers Cowboys
Spread -7 (+100) +7 (-120)
Moneyline -300 +275
Total o47.5 (-105) u47.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Packers vs. Cowboys picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Packers vs. Cowboys matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Packers vs. Cowboys TD scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Packers vs. Cowboys?

According to our model, Green Bay's Josh Jacobs is most likely to score the first touchdown in Packers vs. Cowboys.

Our projections give Jacobs a 16.7% chance of getting in for six first at AT&T Stadium, while the Packers running back is a 60.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Green Bay Packers

Player First TD Probability
Josh Jacobs (RB) 16.7%
Tucker Kraft (TE) 6.1%
Romeo Doubs (WR) 6.1%

Dallas Cowboys

Player First TD Probability
Javonte Williams (RB) 9.0%
George Pickens (WR) 7.8%
Jake Ferguson (TE) 5.2%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Green Bay Packers

Player Anytime TD Probability
Josh Jacobs (RB) 60.7%
Tucker Kraft (TE) 29.1%
Romeo Doubs (WR) 28.9%

Dallas Cowboys

Player Anytime TD Probability
Javonte Williams (RB) 40.2%
George Pickens (WR) 36.1%
Jake Ferguson (TE) 25.9%

Packers vs Cowboys player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Packers and Cowboys. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Packers-Cowboys page now to access every player prop projection.

Packers vs. Cowboys quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Packers' Jordan Love is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Cowboys' Dak Prescott.

Packers rushing

Josh Jacobs, Emanuel Wilson and Jordan Love are projected to be the leading rushers for the Packers.

Player Position
Josh Jacobs RB
Emanuel Wilson RB
Jordan Love QB

Cowboys rushing

Javonte Williams, Miles Sanders and Dak Prescott are expected to lead the Cowboys in rushing yards.

Player Position
Javonte Williams RB
Miles Sanders RB
Dak Prescott QB

Packers receiving

Matthew Golden, Romeo Doubs, Tucker Kraft, Dontayvion Wicks and Josh Jacobs are projected to top the receiving yards for the Packers.

Player Position
Matthew Golden WR
Romeo Doubs WR
Tucker Kraft TE
Dontayvion Wicks WR
Josh Jacobs RB

Cowboys receiving

George Pickens, Jake Ferguson, KaVontae Turpin, Jalen Tolbert and Javonte Williams are projected to lead the Cowboys in receiving yards.

Player Position
George Pickens WR
Jake Ferguson TE
KaVontae Turpin WR
Jalen Tolbert WR
Javonte Williams RB

Packers vs. Cowboys game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 4 action between the Cowboys and Packers at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:20PM ET.

Dimers' full preview of Sunday's Packers vs. Cowboys matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Packers vs. Cowboys picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Packers, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Cowboys in Week 4 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Packers vs. Cowboys insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL news and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the most up-to-date probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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