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Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction: Houston to Win, Stephen Curry Projected for Big Game in Game 7 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Game 7 matchup.
The Houston Rockets will face the Golden State Warriors in Game 7of their 2025 NBA Playoffs series at Toyota Center on Sunday, beginning at 8:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Rockets as the most likely winner of Game 7.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Golden State-Houston game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Rockets with a win probability of 60%, while the Warriors have 40%."
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Rockets lineup will feature stars like Alperen Sengun, Jalen Green and Fred VanVleet, while the Warriors will rely on Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Brandin Podziemski.
For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Warriors vs. Rockets predictions page.
Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction: Who Will Win Game 7?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Warriors and Rockets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Rockets a 60% chance of defeating the Warriors in Game 7 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 104-101.
According to our model, the Rockets (-2.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 205.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Warriors vs. Rockets Game 7 Odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Warriors | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-110) | -2.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +115 | -134 |
| Total | o205.5 (-110) | u205.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Boost your NBA betting by exploring the latest NBA betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.
Warriors vs. Rockets Picks and Best Bets for Game 7
Our model's strongest edge in today's Warriors vs. Rockets matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Warriors vs. Rockets Game 7 Player Props
Looking for Golden State vs. Houston NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Toyota Center.
Stephen Curry is expected to lead the Warriors in scoring, while Alperen Sengun is projected to be the top scorer for the Rockets.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.
Warriors vs. Rockets Game 7 Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's Game 7 between the Rockets and Warriors in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 8:30PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
- Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025
- Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Toyota Center
- NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to determine the league's champion.
Sixteen teams, including the Warriors and Rockets, reached the NBA Playoffs 2025, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Warriors vs. Rockets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Golden State vs. Houston picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Rockets, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Warriors vs. Rockets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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