Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction: Houston to Win, Stephen Curry Projected for Big Game in Game 5 [2025]

The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors are scheduled to meet in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Toyota Center on Wednesday, starting at 7:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Rockets as the most likely winner of Game 5.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Golden State-Houston game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Rockets' chance of winning at 65%, with the Warriors at 35%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Rockets lineup will feature stars like Alperen Sengun, Jalen Green and Fred VanVleet, while the Warriors will rely on Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Brandin Podziemski.

For a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Warriors vs. Rockets predictions page.

Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction: Who Will Win Game 5?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA Playoffs game between the Warriors and Rockets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Rockets a 65% chance of defeating the Warriors in Game 5 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 104-100.

According to our model, the Rockets (-4.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 202.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.

Warriors vs. Rockets Game 5 Odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Warriors	Rockets
Spread	+4.5 (-110)	-4.5 (-108)
Moneyline	+156	-180
Total	o202.5 (-110)	u202.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Warriors vs. Rockets Picks and Best Bets for Game 5

Our model's biggest edge in today's Warriors vs. Rockets matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Warriors vs. Rockets Game 5 Player Props

NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Warriors vs. Rockets matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Toyota Center.

Stephen Curry is expected to lead the Warriors in scoring, while Alperen Sengun is projected to be the top scorer for the Rockets.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Warriors vs. Rockets Game 5 Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's Game 5 between the Rockets and Warriors in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
• Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Toyota Center
• NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule

The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to determine the league's champion.

Sixteen teams, including the Warriors and Rockets, reached the NBA Playoffs 2025, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.

Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Wednesday's Warriors vs. Rockets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Golden State vs. Houston picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Rockets, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Warriors vs. Rockets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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