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Panthers vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Wednesday's NHL Matchup [4/30/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Wednesday's Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.
The Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Florida Panthers in the 2025 NHL Playoffs at Amalie Arena on Wednesday, beginning at 7:30PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Florida-Tampa Bay game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Lightning's chance of winning at 52%, with the Panthers at 48%."
For further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Panthers vs. Lightning predictions page.
Lightning vs. Panthers Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Panthers and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lightning a 52% chance of defeating the Panthers.
According to our model, the Panthers (+1.5) have a 70% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Panthers vs. Lightning Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Panthers | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-285) | -1.5 (+230) |
| Moneyline | -115 | -102 |
| Total | o5.5 (-105) | u5.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Panthers vs. Lightning Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Panthers vs. Lightning matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Panthers vs. Lightning Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Panthers vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Panthers vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Point an 8.2% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 38.0% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Florida Panthers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Carter Verhaeghe | 6.6% |
| Sam Reinhart | 6.0% |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 5.2% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 8.2% |
| Jake Guentzel | 7.4% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 5.6% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Florida Panthers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Carter Verhaeghe | 30.9% |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 28.4% |
| Sam Reinhart | 27.0% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 38.0% |
| Jake Guentzel | 33.7% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 31.5% |
Panthers vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Wednesday's game between the Lightning and Panthers in the NHL Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 7:30PM ET.
- Who: Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025
- Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is the NHL's postseason elimination tournament to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup.
Sixteen teams, including the Panthers and Lightning, made the 2025 NHL Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Dimers.com's full preview of Wednesday's Panthers vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Florida vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Panthers on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Panthers vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the most up-to-date projections for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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