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Final Masters 2025 Predictions and Updated Odds

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Scottie Scheffler strengthens his lead in Dimersโ€™ final 2025 Masters predictions, with updated odds, tee times, and weather now factored into the model.

Scottie Scheffler Masters 2025.
Scottie Scheffler is favored to win his third Masters in four years.

The 2025 Masters tees off today, and Dimersโ€™ final predictions are live. With Augusta National once again in the spotlight, todayโ€™s model update reflects the most important factorsโ€”confirmed tee times, forecasted weather, and movement in the odds markets.

Scottie Scheffler entered the week as the favoriteโ€”and now, as he approach opening tee times, he's widened the gap. The final model update shows an increase in his win probability, solidifying his status as the man to beat. Rory McIlroy, Collin Morikawa, Jon Rahm, and Justin Thomas round out a tightly packed second tier.

Masters 2025 Predictions: Who Will Win and Wear the Green Jacket?

Dimers' predictive analytics model gives Scottie Scheffler a 16.0% chance to winโ€”up from 14.9% earlier this week, and by far the highest in the field. The rest of the top five remains stable, though Jon Rahm has gained slightly due to more favorable tee-time conditions and recent market support.

PlayerWin Probability
Scottie Scheffler (๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ)16.0% (+1.1%)
Rory McIlroy (๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช)7.0% (+0.1%)
Collin Morikawa (๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ)7.0% (-0.2%)
Jon Rahm (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ)5.9% (+0.1%)
Justin Thomas (๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ)3.3% (-0.6%)

Schefflerโ€™s combination of elite ball-striking, Augusta experience, and ideal pairing setup for Thursday morning makes him the clear frontrunner across both modeling and market consensus.

Rory McIlroy follows through on a drive at the 2025 Masters Tournament in Augusta, Georgia.
Rory McIlroy is seeking to complete his career Grand Slam with a long-awaited victory at Augusta.

Top-10 Finish Predictions

Scheffler also leads the way in top-10 finish probability, with nearly a 6-in-10 chance of placing among the leaders. Collin Morikawa and Rory McIlroy are neck-and-neck behind him, while Jon Rahm saw a meaningful boost from earlier in the week.

PlayerTop 10 Probability
Scottie Scheffler (๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ)57.5% (+0.9%)
Collin Morikawa (๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ)41.6% (+0.4%)
Rory McIlroy (๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช)40.2% (-0.2%)
Jon Rahm (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ)38.3% (+1.0%)
Justin Thomas (๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ)28.7% (-0.6%)

While Scheffler continues to pace the field, Rahm is trending upward as he looks to bounce back at Augusta after a quieter early season.

Full list of probabilities available to Dimers Pro users.


Latest Bet365 Odds for the Masters

As of Thursday morning, Bet365โ€™s markets are largely in sync with Dimersโ€™ model. Scheffler and McIlroy lead the way, with Morikawa and Rahm offering value compared to their implied odds. Meanwhile, Bryson DeChambeau and Ludvig ร…berg remain outside the modelโ€™s top five but sit inside the top 10 on the odds boardโ€”both featured in Dimers' Head-to-Head Masters Parlay.

PlayerWin OnlyTop 10 (Inc. Ties)
Scottie Scheffler (๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ)+470-200
Rory McIlroy (๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช)+675-143
Collin Morikawa (๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ)+1500+130
Jon Rahm (๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ)+1500+130
Bryson DeChambeau (๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ)+1700+150
Ludvig ร…berg (๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช)+1900+160
Justin Thomas (๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ)+2200+187
Xander Schauffele (๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ)+2400+190
Hideki Matsuyama (๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต)+3000+230
Joaquin Niemann (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฑ)+3000+230

Morikawa and Rahm, in particular, may present value opportunities for bettors based on the gap between their odds and modeled win probability. Keep an eye on early round performance for any movement.

Key Tee Times for Round 1

The 2025 Masters tee times were officially released earlier this week, with today's featured groups listed below:

  • 9:47 AM ET: Collin Morikawa, Joaquin Niemann, Min Woo Lee
  • 10:15 AM ET: Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, Jose Luis Ballester
  • 1:12 PM ET: Rory McIlroy, Ludvig ร…berg, Akshay Bhatia
  • 1:34 PM ET: Jon Rahm, Wyndham Clark, Tommy Fleetwood

Betting Guides for the Masters


Conclusion: Can Scheffler Go Back-to-Back?

The model, the sportsbooks, and recent form all point to Scottie Scheffler as the golfer to watch this week at Augusta. But this is the Mastersโ€”anything can happen. If Scheffler falters, look for McIlroy, Morikawa, or Rahm to make a move.

Stay with Dimers throughout the weekend for live updates, model refreshes, and projected cut line alerts as Round 1 gets underway.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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