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FC Dallas vs. New York City Prediction, Odds, Picks, and MLS Season Pass Discount Code [7/25/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Friday's FC Dallas vs New York City matchup.
MLS action continues on Friday at 8:30PM ET as NY City squares off with Dallas at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLS model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Dallas as the most likely winner of today's game.
For expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Dallas vs. NY City predictions page.
FC Dallas vs. New York City Prediction: Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLS game between Dallas and NY City 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 41.9% chance of Dallas winning, a 34.0% chance for NY City, and a 24.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.
FC Dallas vs. New York City Odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Dallas | NY City | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +150 | +160 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -120 | +100 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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FC Dallas vs. New York City Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's FC Dallas vs. New York City matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best MLS picks and MLS best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
FC Dallas vs. New York City: Correct Score Predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| DAL 1-1 NYC | 11.1% |
| DAL 2-1 NYC | 8.9% |
| DAL 1-2 NYC | 7.9% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
FC Dallas vs. New York City Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Friday's matchup between Dallas and NY City in MLS at Toyota Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:30PM ET.
- Who: FC Dallas vs. New York City
- Date: Friday, July 25, 2025
- Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
Dimers.com's full preview of Friday's Dallas vs. NY City matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any NY City vs. Dallas picks, be sure to check out the latest MLS predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Dallas has a 41.9% win probability on Friday, NY City has a 34.0% win probability, and there is a 24.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dallas vs. NY City insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on MLS
Stay up-to-date with the latest MLS betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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