...
...
Read Article
Falcons vs. Panthers Computer Picks, NFL Odds and Prediction for Thursday Night Football on November 10, 2022
Updated: | First published:
Written by Zachary Cohen
The Atlanta Falcons can take temporary control of the NFC South with a road win over the Carolina Panthers at 8:15PM ET on Thursday, November 10. Atlanta is coming off a rough loss to the LA Chargers on Sunday, but Arthur Smith's team doesn't have any time to dwell on that. This is a very beatable Carolina team right now and a loss here isn't an option if the visitor has any long-term goals this season.
Find out how we think this one will play out in our Falcons vs. Panthers betting preview.
If you haven't already, you should consider signing up for DraftKings ➡️ here ⬅️ as you can turn a $5 pre-game moneyline bet on any game into a free $200 if your team wins.
Falcons vs. Panthers Computer Picks
Predictive Analytics Data
- No edge on either team to cover the 3-point spread
- 63% chance the Falcons win on the moneyline
- 52% probability on Falcons vs. Panthers going Under 44.5
For the best NFL computer picks, check out our Falcons vs. Panthers data predictions. They are constantly updating based on hundreds of different data points.
Falcons vs. Panthers Odds and Betting Lines
Why The Falcons Will Cover The Spread
The Falcons are 6-3 against the spread on the year and they've just been a really solid team all season long. They're coming off a bad loss to the Chargers, as they had a real shot at winning that game. However, that was a talented football team they were playing against. The same can't be said about the Panthers.
Atlanta needs to look at this as a must-win game, as Tampa Bay just might have some momentum after Tom Brady led a game-winning touchdown drive against the LA Rams last week. Look for the Falcons to utilize a heavy dose of Cordarrelle Patterson, who had two touchdowns last week in his first game since early October.
The Falcons also have the luxury of facing a Panthers team that is just in miserable shape at the quarterback position. That has to be relieving for an Atlanta defense that has struggled lately.
Will Foreman and Patterson go big tonight? The fellas on Prop or Chop analyze tonight's game with their best player props for Falcons vs. Panthers.
Why Panthers Will Cover The Spread
The Panthers get to return home after two road games in a row, so they should be fired up to be playing in front of some fans. They also have a more beatable opponent this week than they did against the Bengals last week. Cincinnati really beat up on Carolina and just looked way too good in all aspects of the game. That, however, shouldn't be the case against the Falcons, who needed overtime to beat the Panthers at home two weeks ago.
If the Panthers can get D'Onta Foreman and the running game going here, they should have a pretty good shot at winning. They just can't afford to put too much on quarterback PJ Walker's plate, as it's clear he feeds off the running game.
Defensively, Carolina will look to load up the box and take the Atlanta running game out of the equation. The Panthers probably don't have to worry about Marcus Mariota lighting it up with his arm.
Why The Over Will Hit
These teams combined to score 71 points when they met two weeks ago. That game did go to overtime, but 68 of the points were scored in regulation. These offenses just looked incredible in that game, with Foreman rushing for 118 yards and three scores for the Panthers, while Mariota threw for 253 yards and three touchdowns for the Falcons.
The Over has now hit in each of the last two meetings between these teams, with them combining to score 50 when they met on December 12, 2021.
RELATED: Full betting previews for every NFL game
Why The Under Will Hit
These teams just met one another and that means they might have a better idea of how to get stops in this game. The Falcons will likely study what the Bengals did to throw Walker off last game, which could also give them some more ideas of how to get Carolina's offense off the field here.
It's also hard to score points on a short week, which is why Thursday night games tend to be really ugly. It's hard to ignore that at this point. It's also hard to ignore the quarterback controversy the Panthers have right now — and the Falcons might also have one pretty soon.
Falcons vs. Panthers Prediction
Lean: Over 44.5
This could be a rare Thursday night shootout, despite this being a game that lacks star power. Neither one of these defenses can be trusted to consistently get stops, which means there should be more points than expected.
Written by
Zachary Cohen Zachary Cohen, a University of Wisconsin graduate, has written about betting and fantasy sports for prominent outlets like Covers, Sports Illustrated, Forbes Sports, Tennis Channel, and FOX Bet, with a strong focus on the NBA and college athletics.
Advertiser disclosure