Expert NBA Player Prop Picks Reveal Kevin Durant as Best NBA Prop on Thursday, February 27

The Phoenix Suns host the New Orleans Pelicans on Thursday's five-game NBA slate on February 27 and the Dimers model has found a high value bet on one of the game's biggest stars, Kevin Durant, as the best NBA prop pick today.

After simulating tonight's Suns vs. Pelicans game over 10,000 times, our predictive NBA model identifies Kevin Durant's points prop as the most likely winning prop bet across tonight's five games.

Before we dive into this player prop pick, be sure you can get the best odds available at bet365 sportsbook. Plus, new users who sign up with the Bet365 bonus code “DIMERS” will unlock bet365's brand-new sign-up promo revealed by Dimers this morning, featuring $150 in bonus bets after a $5 wager, plus an exclusive 50 free spins for online casino players in Pennsylvania.

Why Kevin Durant is the Best NBA Prop Bet Today

Kevin Durant's points line is set at 26.5 vs. the Pelicans tonight. Durant is averaging 26.9 points per game this year, the sixth-highest scoring mark in the league. The DimersBOT model gives Durant a 63.6% probability to go over 26.5 points, the highest probability in our Best NBA Props but that's not the only reason we like this bet.

He's gone over once in four games since the All-Star Break, but previously cleared this in three straight, including back-to-back 34+ point games.

The Pelicans have a bottom-five scoring defense as whole this year, and are allowing the most points scored over their past 15 games. Over their past 10 games, they've allowed at least on player to clear this line eight games, and score 30+ in five games.

#NBA Early Prop Value 🏀

He doesn't care about our parlays - but is KD primed for a big night?

Our top probability on the board, DimersBOT projects him to cruise over his 26.5 PTS line.

New Orleans has allowed a 30-point scorer in 5 of their L10.

Feeling bold?

Ladder 30+… pic.twitter.com/XWF0of56ng

— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) February 27, 2025

Beyond KD's over, we suggest playing a small points ladder on the All-Star forward, taking his 30+ Points (+170 on bet365) and 35+ Points (+425 on bet365) based on our points projection of 33.7 points for Kevin Durant.

Durant has scored 30+ in 16 games this year, a third of his total performances. As mentioned, the Pelicans have allowed a number of 30-point scorers lately in addition to their usual poor scoring defense.

A sample wager breakdown for his points ladder could look like this:

• Over 26.5 Points at -110 (1 Unit)
• 30+ Points at +170 (.5 Unit)
• 35+ Points at +425 (.25 Unit)

This way, if he clears 26.5, you'll make a small profit no matter what and if he hits one or both of the other marks, you'll be up significantly.

Suns vs. Pelicans betting preview

Check out all the important details for this Thursday night NBA matchup, as well as the best odds sourced from the top sportsbooks in the country.

Game details

The key information you need before the Suns vs. Pelicans NBA game.

• Teams: Pelicans vs. Suns
• Date: Thursday, February 27, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• Venue: PHX Arena

Odds

Odds for the key markets in the Suns-Pelicans NBA calsh:

• Spread: Suns favored at -8.5 (-110)
• Total (Over/Under): 236 (-110)
• Moneyline Odds: Pelicans +275, Suns -325

The odds and lines featured here are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fans of both teams can unlock betting bonuses with the NBA betting promos from DraftKings, BetMGM, and FanDuel, while Bet365’s $150 sign-up offer has emerged as the most popular NBA betting deal for those in Arizona.

Review the nationwide Bet365 Bonus Code's two exclusive betting offers.

Expert prediction: Suns vs. Pelicans

Using state-of-the-art data analysis and machine learning, the experts at Dimers have executed 10,000 simulations of the Suns vs. Pelicans game.

According to Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, the Suns are more likely to beat the Pelicans at PHX Arena. This prediction is based on the model giving the Suns a 76% chance of winning the game.

Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the Suns (-8.5) have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 236-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

These predictions and probabilities are correct at the time of publication but are subject to potential changes.

Score prediction for Suns vs. Pelicans

Dimers' predicted final score for the Suns vs. Pelicans game on Thursday has the Suns winning 122-114.

This expert prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations, offering a glimpse into the potential outcome.

NBA Player Prop Projections - Suns vs. Pelicans

NBA player props are a common way to wager on tonight's Suns vs. Pelicans game without necessarily betting on its outcome.

In addition to our recommended bets on Kevin Durant above, here are some of our model's projections for other plays in this game, including first basket predictions and statistical leaders.

First basket scorer predictions

• Zion Williamson: 17.4% probability
• Devin Booker: 12.2% probability
• Kevin Durant: 11.7% probability

RELATED: NBA First Basket Predictions for Thursday, 2/27

Projected box score leaders

• Player Points: Kevin Durant (34)
• Player Assists: Devin Booker (8)
• Player Rebounds: Zion Williamson (6)

RELATED: Suns vs. Pelicans Betting Preview

Final Thoughts: Suns vs. Pelicans

As the Suns gear up to host the Pelicans, user Dimers' NBA predictions to help guide you and find the best wagers to make on this game and the rest of the Thursday NBA schedule.

Ladder Kevin Durant's points, bet on the first basket scorer or back the Suns or Pelicans on the Moneyline to enhance you betting experience during this Thursday night Western Conference clash.

Further, the Bet365 bonus code “DIMERS” makes this the perfect time to explore the platform and wager on this exciting NBA game. Register today and unlock unparalleled sports betting value.

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ, CO, IN, KY, LA, NC, NJ, OH, VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only (18+ in KY). Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IN/KY/LA (select parishes)/NC/NJ/OH/VA/PA. Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New Customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply.