Dolphins vs. Patriots Week 2 Prediction and Odds - September 17, 2023

The New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins will meet in Week 2 of the NFL season at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 8:20PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Dolphins vs. Patriots, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed in this article.

Today's Miami vs. New England betting analysis is presented by Bet365, which has a great Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets promo for new users.

Who Will Win: Dolphins vs. Patriots

Using high-tech machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Dolphins-Patriots NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Dolphins a 55% chance of winning against the Patriots in Week 2 of the NFL season.

More: Dolphins vs. Patriots Simulated 10K Times

Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds

• Spread: Patriots +2.5 (-112), Dolphins -2.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Patriots +114, Dolphins -125
• Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-105/-110)

The Patriots are listed as +2.5 underdogs versus the Dolphins, with -112 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Dolphins (-2.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at -108.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at +114. That means you can bet $100 to profit $114, earning a total payout of $214, if they win.

Meanwhile, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Dolphins at -125, where you can risk $125 to win $100, for a total payout of $225, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 46.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Patriots (+2.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point Over/Under has a 53% chance of going Under.

More: Today's Best Bets for All Major Sports

Best Bets: Dolphins vs. Patriots

• Spread: Patriots +2.5 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook (53% probability)
• Moneyline: Dolphins @ -125 via BetMGM (55% probability)
• Total: Under 46.5 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook (53% probability)

Our best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to help you make better decisions with the legal sportsbooks in America.

Dolphins vs. Patriots Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Miami vs. New England at Gillette Stadium in Week 2 has the Dolphins winning 23-22.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Dolphins-Patriots game in Week 2, including pregame predictions, free betting picks, and live updates.

Dolphins vs. Patriots Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs. Patriots? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Dolphins and Patriots, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Miami's Tyreek Hill is most likely to score the first TD in Dolphins vs. Patriots.

DimersBOT gives Hill a 12.0% chance of getting in for six first at Gillette Stadium, while the Dolphins WR is a 49.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Miami Dolphins

• Tyreek Hill: 12.0% probability
• Raheem Mostert: 10.3% probability
• Jaylen Waddle: 8.6% probability
• Braxton Berrios: 6.2% probability
• Salvon Ahmed: 4.4% probability

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 10.4% probability
• Ezekiel Elliott: 6.6% probability
• Hunter Henry: 5.7% probability
• Kendrick Bourne: 5.2% probability
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 3.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Miami Dolphins

• Tyreek Hill: 49.6% probability
• Raheem Mostert: 44.8% probability
• Jaylen Waddle: 36.8% probability
• Braxton Berrios: 28.7% probability
• Salvon Ahmed: 20.1% probability

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 44.2% probability
• Ezekiel Elliott: 29.4% probability
• Hunter Henry: 25.9% probability
• Kendrick Bourne: 24.3% probability
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 19.0% probability

Dolphins-Patriots Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have a big game with 265 passing yards. The Patriots' Mac Jones is expected to throw for 227 yards.

Dolphins Starting QB

• Tua Tagovailoa: 265 projected yards

Patriots Starting QB

• Mac Jones: 227 projected yards

Dolphins Rushing

• Raheem Mostert: 59 projected yards
• Salvon Ahmed: 16 projected yards
• De'Von Achane: 14 projected yards

Patriots Rushing

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 72 projected yards
• Ezekiel Elliott: 29 projected yards
• Mac Jones: 9 projected yards

Dolphins Receiving

• Tyreek Hill: 85 projected yards
• Jaylen Waddle: 73 projected yards
• Durham Smythe: 25 projected yards
• Braxton Berrios: 25 projected yards
• River Cracraft: 18 projected yards

Patriots Receiving

• Kendrick Bourne: 44 projected yards
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 42 projected yards
• Hunter Henry: 40 projected yards
• Demario Douglas: 30 projected yards
• DeVante Parker: 27 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so check this page for any changes to our betting insights before Dolphins vs. Patriots on Sunday September 17, 2023.

Dolphins vs. Patriots 2023

The NFL Week 2 matchup between the Patriots and Dolphins at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:20PM ET.

• Who: Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday September 17, 2023
• Time: 8:20PM ET / 5:20PM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

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Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions Today

Dimers' picks are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Dolphins vs. Patriots picks can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

What NFL Games Are on Today?

The Dolphins and Patriots aren't the only two NFL teams you can bet on today. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and top bets for each and every NFL matchup via our NFL predictions. Not only do we provide with you great predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Hell yeah it does!

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, Dimers also offers the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the best odds available every day of the NFL season.