Dolphins vs. Patriots Week 17 Prediction and Odds - Jan 1, 2023

The New England Patriots square off with the Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 17 action at Gillette Stadium on New Year's Day, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Dolphins vs. Patriots, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed in this article.

Who will win Dolphins vs. Patriots?

Using cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Dolphins-Patriots NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Patriots a 63% chance of defeating the Dolphins in Week 17 of the NFL season.

More: Dolphins vs. Patriots Simulated 10K Times

Dolphins vs. Patriots Current Odds

• Spread: Patriots -3 (-105), Dolphins +3 (-110)
• Moneyline: Patriots -155, Dolphins +140
• Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-105)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Patriots are -3 favorites versus the Dolphins, with -105 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Dolphins (+3) to cover the spread, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -110.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at -155, which means you can risk $155 to win $100, for a total payout of $255, if they get the W.

On the other hand, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Dolphins at +140, where you can put down $100 to profit $140, earning a total payout of $240, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 41.5 with Caesars Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Dolphins and Patriots are a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 41.5-point Over/Under is a 53% chance of going Over.

More: Best Prop Bets Today

Best Bets for Dolphins vs. Patriots

• Spread: Patriots -3 @ -105 via PointsBet (50% probability)
• Moneyline: Patriots @ -155 via DraftKings Sportsbook (63% probability)
• Total: Over 41.5 @ -110 via Caesars Sportsbook (53% probability)

Our best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to help you make more informed investments with the legal sportsbooks in America.

Dolphins vs. Patriots Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Miami vs. New England at Gillette Stadium in Week 17 has the Patriots winning 22-19.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Dolphins-Patriots matchup in Week 17, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Dolphins vs. Patriots Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Dolphins vs. Patriots? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Dolphins and Patriots, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Miami's Tyreek Hill is most likely to score the first TD in Dolphins vs. Patriots.

DimersBOT gives Hill an 11.8% chance of getting in for six first at Gillette Stadium, while the Dolphins WR is a 43.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Miami Dolphins

• Tyreek Hill: 11.8% probability
• Jaylen Waddle: 8.3% probability
• Raheem Mostert: 7.9% probability
• Jeff Wilson: 7.2% probability
• Trent Sherfield: 4.3% probability

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 11.7% probability
• Kendrick Bourne: 7.9% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 7.4% probability
• Hunter Henry: 7.0% probability
• Damien Harris: 6.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Miami Dolphins

• Tyreek Hill: 43.7% probability
• Jaylen Waddle: 33.9% probability
• Raheem Mostert: 32.2% probability
• Jeff Wilson: 29.6% probability
• Trent Sherfield: 17.7% probability

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 44.9% probability
• Kendrick Bourne: 32.0% probability
• Hunter Henry: 30.8% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 30.3% probability
• Damien Harris: 26.9% probability

Dolphins-Patriots Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Teddy Bridgewater is projected for 226 passing yards. The Patriots' Mac Jones is expected to throw for 211 yards.

Dolphins Starting QB

• Teddy Bridgewater: 226 projected yards

Patriots Starting QB

• Mac Jones: 211 projected yards

Dolphins Rushing

• Jeff Wilson: 55 projected yards
• Raheem Mostert: 51 projected yards
• Teddy Bridgewater: 9 projected yards

Patriots Rushing

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 60 projected yards
• Damien Harris: 30 projected yards
• Mac Jones: 12 projected yards

Dolphins Receiving

• Tyreek Hill: 78 projected yards
• Jaylen Waddle: 61 projected yards
• Cedrick Wilson: 22 projected yards
• Durham Smythe: 18 projected yards
• Jeff Wilson: 18 projected yards

Patriots Receiving

• Jakobi Meyers: 47 projected yards
• Kendrick Bourne: 42 projected yards
• Hunter Henry: 35 projected yards
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 30 projected yards
• Tyquan Thornton: 24 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before Dolphins vs. Patriots on Sunday January 1, 2023.

Dolphins vs. Patriots 2023

The NFL Week 17 action between the Patriots and Dolphins at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday January 1, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

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What other NFL games are on today?

The Dolphins and Patriots aren't the only two NFL teams you can bet on today. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and top bets for every single NFL matchup in our NFL Bet Hub page.

Not only do we provide with you great predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Hell yeah it does!