Dinger Tuesday Picks: Our Best Home Run Parlay Bet for June 17 featuring Giancarlo Stanton

If you're wondering who will hit a home run today, then you've come to the right place!

The 2025 MLB season is rolling along and the FanDuel Sportsbook bonus code we want to focus on today, June 17, is their Dinger Tuesday promotion, offering a solid opportunity for bettors looking to profit on the best home run bets - especially when paired with the power of Dimers Pro and today's +3210 home run parlay.

If you're new to MLB betting, Dinger Tuesday is FanDuel's long-running home run–themed promotion that drops every Tuesday during the MLB season. While this year's version doesn’t offer the same bonus bet payout per home run as last season, it still packs a punch for smart bettors using our best home run props.

Opt in to the Dinger Tuesday promo on FanDuel Sportsbook to receive a 50% Profit Boost Token to apply to any “To Hit a Home Run” wager for that Tuesday's MLB games. You can use the Profit Boost on any eligible straight or parlay home run prop—just note that there’s a maximum bet limit and a few restrictions (bonus funds, odds boosts, and cash-outs are ineligible).

Plus, all new users at FanDuel can also score $200 in bonus bets if their first $5 wager placed on the sportsbook wins, which can be claimed via the offer below.

What is Dinger Tuesday?

Opt in to the Dinger Tuesday promo on FanDuel Sportsbook to receive a 50% Profit Boost Token to apply to any “To Hit a Home Run” wager for that Tuesday's MLB games. You can use the Profit Boost on any eligible straight or parlay home run prop—just note that there’s a maximum bet limit and a few restrictions (bonus funds, odds boosts, and cash-outs are ineligible).

Say you use your Profit Boost Token on a +400 home run prop for Mookie Betts. Your 50% Profit Boost Token turns that into a +600 bet, meaning a $25 wager will now win $150 instead of $100.

Dimers Pro gives you access to daily HR prop predictions beyond just Dinger Tuesday—dozens of options on packed slates like today's—and highlights which bets carry positive expected value against the sportsbooks. Combined with the weekly Dinger Tuesday boosts, that edge can turn a single swing into a big payday.

Dinger Tuesday Home Run Bets for June 17

Below, you will find our Dinger Tuesday picks, and unless otherwise noted, will feature a top overall Home Run probability, usually form our Top 5, and a strong value prop, one where the odds boost gives us a better price than our probability says it should be.

Dimers Pro users can access every home run probabilities for every single player here which will allow you to sort by probability, player or individual games. We also drop our Top 25 Home Run Probabilities in our Dimers Pro VIP Discord every day, where our users are putting the data to work.

For a longshot, you can play both of these home run picks together for a juicy parlay at +3210 odds, up from +2140 with the Dinger Tuesday boost.

High Probability Home Run: Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees)

• Game: Yankees vs. Angels
• Dimers Probability: 23.8%
• FanDuel Odds: +220
• 50% Boosted Odds: +330

Our high probability bet on Dinger Tuesday zeroes in on Giancarlo Stanton, the Yankees' massive slugger who just made his season debut last night.

Stanton was sidelined with elbow injuries for the start of the season and brings his power into the middle of the Yankees' lineup, just in time for some summer smashing.

He didn't crush the ball in his debut, but he picked up a pair of knocks with a single and a double, and he gets our top home run probability tonight.

Tonight, he'll face Angels starter Kyle Hendricks, who's allowed 12 HR this year, eight of them to lefties. Stanton is hitless in 9 career at-bats vs. Hendricks, but hasn't faced him since Hendricks was a Cub and Stanton was a Marlin.

Hendricks primarily throws two pitches - a changeup, which Stanton isn't very good against, and a sinker, which Stanton crushed last season. Hendricks can't throw just changeups so expect Stanton to get some looks.

As a bonus, the Angels bullpen has allowed 43 home runs this season, the most in MLB.

Stanton's 23.8% home run probability makes fair odds of about +300, and you can get +330 with the 50% boost at FanDuel.

Best Value Home Run: Marcell Ozuna (Braves)

• Game: Braves vs. Mets
• Dimers Probability: 15.8%
• FanDuel Odds: +600
• 50% Boosted Odds: +900

Our home run value prop is on the Braves Marcell Ozuna to hit his 12th home run of the season at home vs. the Mets on Tuesday.

Ozuna has a pair of home runs so far in June and has a 16.2% barrel rate this month, 21st in all of MLB. His issue lately has been making contact but when he does, he's smacking the ball.

His probability is a little lower tonight against the Mets' sharp starter David Peterson, but he still lands in our Top 25 home run probabilities. Ozuna has a pair of home runs and a .529 SLG % in 17 at bats vs. Peterson, who's allowed just four home runs this year. 

However, Peterson primarily throws Sinker, Slider, 4-seam fastball, all over 20% of the time, with the sinker and 4-Seamer both of Ozuna's best pitches this year with the most positive run value and 8 HR off fastballs.

Ozuna's 15.8% probability makes fair odds of +530, so we're already getting some value at his standard odds, with an even better edge of +900 with the boost.

Dinger Tuesday Home Run Parlay

For those looking to play a longshot, pair these two bets for a +3210 home run parlay, up from +2140 odds pre-boost.

With just one 50% profit boost, you won't be able to boost both singles and this MLB parlay, so you'll have to apply your profit boost strategically across your picks.

Playing the singles gives you a higher chance at a profit, as hitting one is more likely than both, but playing the parlay gives you the biggest total payout.

If you play the parlay, whether with or without the boost, we recommend placing a smaller unit size than you would on a straight wager as it comes with significantly higher risk.

Dinger Tuesday Strategy Guide

If you're looking to make your own selections, consider these tips to help you narrow down your targets from the list of many potential sluggers on Tuesday.

1. High Probabilities

This method is as straightforward as it comes. Bet on the player with the highest probability to hit a home run in any game or multiple games

If you choose this method, then you'll often be betting on the home run leaders like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani, Cal Raleigh., etc at shorter odds. This is a lower upside method, but you'll be backing players who are likely contend for the top of the HR list at the end of the season.

Dimers Pro users can sort by home run props here, use the Dimers Pro Hitter Hub, or pop into the Dimers Pro Discord where we release our Top 25 HR Probabilities every day.

2. Maximum Value

The second strategy we'll look at is to back players with edges in their odds. These are often going to be higher risk, lower probability plays, but they will return big profits if they win.

You'll find these high-value home run props at the top of our home run edges each and every Tuesday, though you may not always find the best odds on FanDuel. That's a very important distinction, because if the value in a particular home run prop is only on an other book, then it may not be a play worth making for Dinger Tuesday since you must place that bet on FanDuel to use your profit boost.

Even still, you can find value on players with high probabilities, or take a shot on an already longer odds play, boosted even higher by a 50% boost.

3. Do the Extra Research

The best way to use Dimers Pro is alongside the wealth of MLB statistics out there. Weather, pitch types, ballparks, head-to-head matchups...these are just a handful of the factors that can weigh into home run props. 

Some key factors to look at when making your home run picks:

• Matchup: Your batter's success against the starting pitcher's varying pitch types
• Bullpens: When the starter gets pulled, which teams relievers are serving up dingers?
• Ballpark Factors: Short porch? Elevation boost? Not all parks are built equal
• Head-to-Head History: What has a batter done vs. the starter in the past
• Weather: Cold: bad. Wind: good (in the right direction). Always check the weather reports

With dozens of props available on Dimers Pro, it's always good to check on these other data points to help you narrow down which bets to make.

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