Dinger Tuesday Picks: Our Best Home Run Parlay Bet for July 29 features Corey Seager

If you're wondering who will hit a home run today, July 29, then you've come to the right place!

The 2025 MLB season continues to ramp up its post-All Star Break action and the all-user FanDuel Sportsbook bonus code available today grant users the Dinger Tuesday promo, offering a solid opportunity for bettors looking to profit on the best home run bets - especially when paired with the power of Dimers Pro and today's +2145 home run parlay.

If you're new to MLB betting, Dinger Tuesday is FanDuel's long-running home run–themed promotion that drops every Tuesday during the MLB season. While this year's version doesn’t offer the same bonus bet payout per home run as last season, it still packs a punch for smart bettors using our best home run props.

Opt in to the Dinger Tuesday promo on FanDuel Sportsbook to receive a 50% Profit Boost Token to apply to any “To Hit a Home Run” wager for that Tuesday's MLB games. You can use the Profit Boost on any eligible straight or parlay home run prop—just note that there’s a maximum bet limit and a few restrictions (bonus funds, odds boosts, and cash-outs are ineligible).

Plus, all new users at FanDuel can also score $200 in bonus bets if their first $5 wager placed on the sportsbook wins, which can be claimed via the offer below.

What is Dinger Tuesday?

Opt in to the Dinger Tuesday promo on FanDuel Sportsbook to receive a 50% Profit Boost Token to apply to any “To Hit a Home Run” wager for that Tuesday's MLB games. You can use the Profit Boost on any eligible straight or parlay home run prop—just note that there’s a maximum bet limit and a few restrictions (bonus funds, odds boosts, and cash-outs are ineligible).

Say you use your Profit Boost Token on a +400 home run prop for Mookie Betts. Your 50% Profit Boost Token turns that into a +600 bet, meaning a $25 wager will now win $150 instead of $100.

Dimers Pro gives you access to daily HR prop predictions beyond just Dinger Tuesday—dozens of options on packed slates like today's—and highlights which bets carry positive expected value against the sportsbooks. Combined with the weekly Dinger Tuesday boosts, that edge can turn a single swing into a big payday.

Dinger Tuesday Home Run Bets for July 29

Below, you will find our Dinger Tuesday picks, often focusing on a top probability and a strong value bet, where our model says a player is more likely to hit a home run than their odds imply.

Dimers Pro users can access every home run probabilities for every single player here which will allow you to sort by probability, player or individual games. We also drop our Top 25 Home Run Probabilities in our Dimers Pro VIP Discord every day, where our users are putting the data to work.

With one 50% boost, you can juice up either slugger's odds for a better payout, or for a longshot, you can play both of these home run picks together for a juicy parlay at +2145 odds, up from +1430 with the Dinger Tuesday boost.

Home Run Bet: Riley Greene (Tigers)

• Game: Tigers vs. Diamondbacks
• Dimers Probability: 16.2%
• FanDuel Odds: +350
• 50% Boosted Odds: +525

First up is the Tigers hard-hitting lefty, Riley Greene, in a strong Dinger Tuesday matchup.

Greene leads the Tigers in home runs with 25 on the season - beating his career high of 24 in 512 at-bats last season in just 406 AB this year - and since July 1, he has 6 HR and a 10.9% Barrel %.

He'll face righthander Brandon Pfaadt of the Diamondbacks, who has given up 17 HR this season, ranks bottom-4th percentile in Barrel % with 14 of those home runs allowed in 53.0 IP on the road, where he'll be tonight. For comparison, he's given up just 3 in 58.2 IP at home.

Pfaadt primarily throws a combination of 4-seamer, Sweeper, Sinker and Changeup, with Greene's output well-rounded against these pitch types, particularly with a .535 SLG and 5 HR against offspeed pitches.

The DimersBOT gives Greene a 16.2% probability to hit a home run tonight

Home Run Bet: Corey Seager (Rangers)

• Game: Rangers @ Angels
• Dimers Probability: 18.0%
• FanDuel Odds: +240
• 50% Boosted Odds: +360

For our second leg, we're hitting the road with the Rangers against their AL West rival, the Angels.

Corey Seager gets the nod tonight, bringing his 15 home runs and 93rd-percentile Barrel % into one of the best matchups night in and night out.

Seager struggled to get back to his power after missing most of May with injury, but has put that behind him, hitting 9 home runs over the past month, ranking 18th with an 18.0% Barrel % since July 1.

He'll face the Angels' Yusei Kikuchi, who has a 1.40 HR/9 and a 12.3% Barrel % (third-worst in MLB) since June 1. His top two pitches (slider 36%, 4-seamer 35%) are Seager's two best pitches this season.

When Kikuchi leaves the game, the worst bullpen in the majors comes in - the Angels have allowed 63 HR in relief, four more than the next team. Since the All-Star Break, the team has the second-worst HR/9 in the bigs (1.88). Lefty vs. Lefty isn't the best matchup on paper, but Seager is better vs. LHP - he has 7 HR in 97 at-bats compared to 8 HR in 181 at-bats from the other side.

The DimersBOT gives Seager an 18.0% probability to go yard tonight, highest on the Rangers and a Top 15 overall.

Dinger Tuesday Home Run Parlay

For those looking to play a longshot, pair these two bets for a +2145 home run parlay, up from +1430 odds pre-boost.

With just one 50% profit boost, you won't be able to boost both singles and this MLB parlay, so you'll have to apply your profit boost strategically across your picks.

Playing the singles gives you a higher chance at a profit, as hitting one is more likely than both, but playing the parlay gives you the biggest total payout.

If you play the parlay, whether with or without the boost, we recommend placing a smaller unit size than you would on a straight wager as it comes with significantly higher risk.

Dinger Tuesday Strategy Guide

If you're looking to make your own selections, consider these tips to help you narrow down your targets from the list of many potential sluggers on Tuesday.

1. High Probabilities

This method is as straightforward as it comes. Bet on the player with the highest probability to hit a home run in any game or multiple games

If you choose this method, then you'll often be betting on the home run leaders like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani, Cal Raleigh., etc at shorter odds. This is a lower upside method, but you'll be backing players who are likely contend for the top of the HR list at the end of the season.

Dimers Pro users can sort by home run props here, use the Dimers Pro Hitter Hub, or pop into the Dimers Pro Discord where we release our Top 25 HR Probabilities every day.

2. Maximum Value

The second strategy we'll look at is to back players with edges in their odds. These are often going to be higher risk, lower probability plays, but they will return big profits if they win.

You'll find these high-value home run props at the top of our home run edges each and every Tuesday, though you may not always find the best odds on FanDuel. That's a very important distinction, because if the value in a particular home run prop is only on an other book, then it may not be a play worth making for Dinger Tuesday since you must place that bet on FanDuel to use your profit boost.

Even still, you can find value on players with high probabilities, or take a shot on an already longer odds play, boosted even higher by a 50% boost.

3. Do the Extra Research

The best way to use Dimers Pro is alongside the wealth of MLB statistics out there. Weather, pitch types, ballparks, head-to-head matchups...these are just a handful of the factors that can weigh into home run props. 

Some key factors to look at when making your home run picks:

• Matchup: Your batter's success against the starting pitcher's varying pitch types
• Bullpens: When the starter gets pulled, which teams relievers are serving up dingers?
• Ballpark Factors: Short porch? Elevation boost? Not all parks are built equal
• Head-to-Head History: What has a batter done vs. the starter in the past
• Weather: Cold: bad. Wind: good (in the right direction). Always check the weather reports

With dozens of props available on Dimers Pro, it's always good to check on these other data points to help you narrow down which bets to make.

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