Dinger Tuesday Picks: Our Best Home Run Parlay Bet for August 26 features Juan Soto

If you're wondering who will hit a home run today, August 26, then you've come to the right place!

There's just one month left in the 2025 MLB season and we're lor looking to close out August with a Dinger Tuesday cash.

The FanDuel Sportsbook bonus code available today grants all users the Dinger Tuesday promo, offering a a boosted opportunity for bettors looking to profit on the best home run bets - especially when paired with the power of Dimers Pro and today's +3472 home run parlay.

If you're new to MLB betting, Dinger Tuesday is FanDuel's long-running home run–themed promotion that drops every Tuesday during the MLB season. While this year's version doesn’t offer the same bonus bet payout per home run as last season, it still packs a punch for smart bettors using our best home run props.

Opt in to the Dinger Tuesday promo on FanDuel Sportsbook to receive a 50% Profit Boost Token to apply to any “To Hit a Home Run” wager for that Tuesday's MLB games. You can use the Profit Boost on any eligible straight or parlay home run prop—just note that there’s a maximum bet limit and a few restrictions (bonus funds, odds boosts, and cash-outs are ineligible).

Plus, all new users at FanDuel can also score $300 in bonus bets if their first $5 wager placed on the sportsbook wins, which can be claimed via the offer below.

What is Dinger Tuesday?

Opt in to the Dinger Tuesday promo on FanDuel Sportsbook to receive a 50% Profit Boost Token to apply to any “To Hit a Home Run” wager for that Tuesday's MLB games. You can use the Profit Boost on any eligible straight or parlay home run prop—just note that there’s a maximum bet limit and a few restrictions (bonus funds, odds boosts, and cash-outs are ineligible).

Say you use your Profit Boost Token on a +200 home run prop on current HR King Cal Raleigh. Your 50% Profit Boost Token turns that into a +300 bet, meaning a $25 wager will now win $75 profit instead of $50.

Dimers Pro gives you access to daily HR prop predictions beyond just Dinger Tuesday—dozens of options on packed slates like today's—and highlights which bets carry positive expected value against the sportsbooks. Combined with the weekly Dinger Tuesday boosts, that edge can turn a single swing into a big payday.

Dinger Tuesday Home Run Bets for August 26

Below, you will find our Dinger Tuesday picks, often focusing on a top probability and a strong value bet, where our model says a player is more likely to hit a home run than their odds imply.

Dimers Pro users can access every home run probabilities for every single player here which will allow you to sort by probability, player or individual games. We also drop our Top 25 Home Run Probabilities in our Dimers Pro VIP Discord every day, where our users are putting the data to work.

With one 50% boost, you can juice up either slugger's odds for a better payout, or for a longshot, you can play both of these home run picks together for a juicy parlay at +3472 odds, up from +2315 with the Dinger Tuesday boost.

Home Run Bet: Juan Soto (Mets)

Game: Mets vs. Phillies

Dimers Probability: 19.6%

FanDuel Odds: +400

50% Boosted Odds: +600

We'll start off with the $765M man as the Mets take on the Phillies in a pivotal NL East series.

Juan Soto gets a 19.6% probability from DimersBOT and is our No. 1 HR prop on the board over on our Best MLB Props page, giving us fair odds at +400.

While some feel like he's having a down year because of his average and his numbers in 2024, Soto is up to 32 home runs on the season, 9 shy of his career-best 41 with the Yankees last year and should have no problem securing his second-highest total (currently 35).

He's 97th percentile or better in Barrel %, HardHit %, Exit Velo and xSLG and per Statcast, he'd actually have fewer HR adjust for Yankee Stadium than City Field this year.

The Phillies send LHP Jesus Luzardo the mound, who's been pretty good this year, allowing 14 HR in 142.2 IP. However, half of those have come since the All-Star Break, allowing at least 1 HR in 5 of his L7 starts.

He doesn't allow HR to lefties (0 in 35.1 IP) but Soto crushes his top fastball and the changeup, his third primary pitch.

Home Run Bet: Bryce Harper (Phillies)

Game: Mets vs. Phillies

Dimers Probability: 16.2%

FanDuel Odds: +440

50% Boosted Odds: +660

There's a little theme in today's parlay - two former Nationals franchise cornerstones going head-to-head.

That means Bryce Harper is our second leg, as we look for him to go yard for the seventh time this month.

He's having his hottest stretch of the season, hitting nearly a third of his season-long 21 home runs to date in August and more than half (11) since the All-Star Break.

We give Harper a 16.2% probability to hit a home run tonight, which means our fair odds of +515 are well below his boosted odds of +675 thanks to the FanDuel promo.

He'll face LHP Sean Manaea who's given up six home runs in 36.2 IP this year and deploys the 4-seam and sweeper a combined 94% of the time and Harper has averaged over a .600 SLG vs. this pitch mix in 2025.

Dinger Tuesday Home Run Parlay

For those looking to play a longshot, pair these two bets for a +3472 home run parlay, up from +2315 odds pre-boost.

With just one 50% profit boost, you won't be able to boost both singles and this MLB parlay, so you'll have to apply your profit boost strategically across your picks.

Playing the singles gives you a higher chance at a profit, as hitting one is more likely than both, but playing the parlay gives you the biggest total payout.

If you play the parlay, whether with or without the boost, we recommend placing a smaller unit size than you would on a straight wager as it comes with significantly higher risk.

Dinger Tuesday Strategy Guide

If you're looking to make your own selections, consider these tips to help you narrow down your targets from the list of many potential sluggers on Tuesday.

1. High Probabilities

This method is as straightforward as it comes. Bet on the player with the highest probability to hit a home run in any game or multiple games

If you choose this method, then you'll often be betting on the home run leaders like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani, Cal Raleigh., etc at shorter odds. This is a lower upside method, but you'll be backing players who are likely contend for the top of the HR list at the end of the season.

Dimers Pro users can sort by home run props here, use the Dimers Pro Hitter Hub, or pop into the Dimers Pro Discord where we release our Top 25 HR Probabilities every day.

2. Maximum Value

The second strategy we'll look at is to back players with edges in their odds. These are often going to be higher risk, lower probability plays, but they will return big profits if they win.

You'll find these high-value home run props at the top of our home run edges each and every Tuesday, though you may not always find the best odds on FanDuel. That's a very important distinction, because if the value in a particular home run prop is only on an other book, then it may not be a play worth making for Dinger Tuesday since you must place that bet on FanDuel to use your profit boost.

Even still, you can find value on players with high probabilities, or take a shot on an already longer odds play, boosted even higher by a 50% boost.

3. Do the Extra Research

The best way to use Dimers Pro is alongside the wealth of MLB statistics out there. Weather, pitch types, ballparks, head-to-head matchups...these are just a handful of the factors that can weigh into home run props. 

Some key factors to look at when making your home run picks:

• Matchup: Your batter's success against the starting pitcher's varying pitch types
• Bullpens: When the starter gets pulled, which teams relievers are serving up dingers?
• Ballpark Factors: Short porch? Elevation boost? Not all parks are built equal
• Head-to-Head History: What has a batter done vs. the starter in the past
• Weather: Cold: bad. Wind: good (in the right direction). Always check the weather reports

With dozens of props available on Dimers Pro, it's always good to check on these other data points to help you narrow down which bets to make.

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