Dimers' college football prediction models enhanced ahead of new season

The college football landscape has been transformed in recent years by the rise of NIL (Name, Image and Likeness). For sports betting aficionados, that shift has been just as significant as it has been for players and programs — and the Dimers data team has been working tirelessly this offseason to ensure our CFB predictions stay ahead of the curve.

Ahead of the new college football season, we explain what improvements to the Dimers.com prediction models bettors can expect.

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Why Dimers refreshed its college football predictions models

After a thorough review of past seasons, our prediction model makers at Dimers noted a clear trend: model performance had declined roughly in proportion with the growing impact of NIL, which was implemented in college football in July 2021.

“As NIL became more central to the college football ecosystem, it created a greater disparity between programs with deep resources and those without,” Dimers co-founder Nick Slade said. “We saw the same phenomenon in college basketball with March Madness earlier this year, where NIL reshaped the competitive balance between top-tier and lower-end teams.”

That imbalance posed a challenge for betting and predictions models built on pre-NIL data. But in studying results more closely, our team also noticed something important — in certain spots, the online sports betting sites may have overreacted to NIL-driven dynamics, leaving hidden opportunities for bettors.

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Refreshed, post-NIL CFB predictions

In response, the Dimers team has retrained and refreshed our college football predictions models to account for post-NIL realities. Internal ranking systems and machine learning processes have been updated with visibility on NIL-era data, creating a model better aligned with today’s game.

RELATED: College Football Week 1 Best Bets

The result? Bettors can expect a more balanced spread between favorites and underdogs compared to last season. And while the model will hit the ground running in Week 1, the real “sweet spot” will come into focus a few weeks into the season as data matures — the perfect time to take advantage of our new feature, The Sweet Spot, a Dimers Signal that highlights positive ROI opportunities across key bet types and edge ranges.

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Dimers' 2025 NCAAF season betting resources

• CFB predictions: Our data-backed previews for every game, every day
• CFB best bets: Our Top Picks for every individual matchup
• Best CFB props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
• CFB futures odds: Who will win the National Championship?
• CFB betting news: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league

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