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Red Wings vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [1/18/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.
The Tampa Bay Lightning and Detroit redwings will lock horns in the NHL at Amalie Arena on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Detroit-Tampa Bay game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Lightning are more likely to win, while the Red Wings have a lower chance of victory."
For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Red Wings vs. Lightning predictions page.
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Red Wings vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's matchup between the Lightning and Red Wings at Amalie Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Red Wings vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Detroit vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Red Wings vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Red Wings and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Lightning a 63% chance of beating the Red Wings.
According to our model, the Red Wings (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Red Wings vs. Lightning Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Red Wings | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-145) | -1.5 (+125) |
| Moneyline | +170 | -205 |
| Total | o6 (-120) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Wings vs. Lightning Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Red Wings vs. Lightning matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Red Wings vs. Lightning Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Red Wings vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Red Wings vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Point a 9.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 44.8% chance of registering an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Larkin | 6.0% |
| Lucas Raymond | 5.9% |
| Patrick Kane | 5.5% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 9.3% |
| Jake Guentzel | 8.2% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 6.8% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Lucas Raymond | 33.5% |
| Dylan Larkin | 30.7% |
| Patrick Kane | 28.6% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 44.8% |
| Jake Guentzel | 40.9% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 37.8% |
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Red Wings on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Red Wings vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL betting news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the most accurate probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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