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Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Game 7 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 7 matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets will lock horns in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Paycom Center on Sunday, starting at 3:30PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of Game 7.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Denver-Oklahoma City game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Thunder with a win probability of 74%, while the Nuggets have 26%."
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the Nuggets will be led by Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Christian Braun.
For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions page.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction: Who Will Win Game 7?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Nuggets and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Thunder a 74% chance of defeating the Nuggets in Game 7 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 111-103.
According to our model, the Nuggets (+8.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 214 points has a 52% chance of going over.
Nuggets vs. Thunder Game 7 Odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nuggets | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-110) | -8.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +275 | -305 |
| Total | o214 (-108) | u214 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Nuggets vs. Thunder Picks and Best Bets for Game 7
Our model's biggest edge in today's Nuggets vs. Thunder matchup is on the spread.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Nuggets vs. Thunder Game 7 Player Props
NBA player props are a popular way to wager on Sunday's Denver vs. Oklahoma City game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.
Nikola Jokic is expected to lead the Nuggets in scoring, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to be the top scorer for the Thunder.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.
Nuggets vs. Thunder Game 7 Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's Game 7 between the Thunder and Nuggets in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to start at 3:30PM ET.
- Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025
- Time: 3:30PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: Paycom Center
- NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to decide the league's champion.
A total of 16 teams, including the Nuggets and Thunder, made the NBA Playoffs 2025, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round of the NBA Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Nuggets vs. Thunder matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Denver vs. Oklahoma City picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Nuggets on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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