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Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Game 5 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Our expert prediction for Tuesday's Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 5 matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets are scheduled to meet in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Paycom Center on Tuesday, starting at 9:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of Game 5.
"Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Denver-Oklahoma City game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows the Thunder with a win probability of 78%, compared to 22% for the Nuggets."
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the Nuggets will look to Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon.
For expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions page.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction: Who Will Win Game 5?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Nuggets and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Thunder a 78% chance of beating the Nuggets in Game 5 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 115-106.
According to our model, the Nuggets (+10) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 221.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Nuggets vs. Thunder Game 5 Odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nuggets | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +10 (-110) | -10 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +360 | -440 |
| Total | o221.5 (-112) | u221.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Boost your NBA betting by exploring the latest NBA betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.
Nuggets vs. Thunder Picks and Best Bets for Game 5
Our model's biggest edge in today's Nuggets vs. Thunder matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Nuggets vs. Thunder Game 5 Player Props
NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on the Denver vs. Oklahoma City game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.
Nikola Jokic is expected to lead the Nuggets in scoring, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to be the top scorer for the Thunder.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.
Nuggets vs. Thunder Game 5 Updates and Essential Details
Tuesday's Game 5 between the Thunder and Nuggets in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to start at 9:30PM ET.
- Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Tuesday, May 13, 2025
- Time: 9:30PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Paycom Center
- NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to decide the league's champion.
Sixteen teams, including the Nuggets and Thunder, reached the NBA Playoffs 2025, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Tuesday's Nuggets vs. Thunder matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Denver vs. Oklahoma City picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat the Nuggets on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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