Daniil Medvedev vs. Benjamin Bonzi prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2025

Daniil Medvedev will face Benjamin Bonzi in the first round of the US Open Men's Singles 2025 on Sunday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Daniil Medvedev as the most likely winner of the match.

"Using the most recent data, we ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Medvedev-Bonzi match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows Daniil Medvedev with a win probability of 82%, while Benjamin Bonzi has 18%."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Medvedev vs. Bonzi predictions page.

Medvedev vs. Bonzi prediction: Who will win and advance to the Second Round?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Medvedev-Bonzi men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Medvedev an 82% chance of beating Bonzi in the US Open 2025.

Additionally, Medvedev has a 75% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Medvedev (-6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 36.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.

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Daniil Medvedev vs. Benjamin Bonzi odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Medvedev	Bonzi
Moneyline	-465	+350
First Set	-278	+220
Game Spread	+6.5 (-135)	-6.5 (-120)
Total Games	o36.5 (-115)	u36.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Medvedev vs. Bonzi picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Medvedev vs. Bonzi match is on the first set.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Medvedev vs. Bonzi updates and essential details

The US Open 2025 match between Daniil Medvedev and Benjamin Bonzi is scheduled to begin on Sunday at 8:55PM ET.

• Who: Daniil Medvedev vs. Benjamin Bonzi
• Date: Sunday, August 24, 2025
• Approx. Time: 8:55PM ET/5:55PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2025
• Round: First round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Medvedev vs. Bonzi match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Daniil Medvedev vs. Benjamin Bonzi picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key tennis betting guides and insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Daniil Medvedev, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat Benjamin Bonzi at the US Open 2025.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Medvedev vs. Bonzi insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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