Cowboys vs. Bears prediction: Why Dallas is favored to win in NFL Week 3, 2025

The Chicago Bears will square off with the Dallas Cowboys in NFL Week 3 action at Soldier Field on Sunday, beginning at 4:25PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Cowboys as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Cowboys-Bears game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Cowboys with a win probability of 59%, while the Bears have 41%."

This gameday Cowboys vs. Bears betting preview builds on my Cowboys vs. Bears prediction that was posted earlier in the week.

For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Cowboys vs. Bears predictions page.

Cowboys vs. Bears Predictions

Since our Cowboys-Bears predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Cowboys and Bears 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Cowboys a 59% chance of beating the Bears in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Cowboys winning 25-23.

According to our model, the Cowboys (-1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 50.5 points has a 55% chance of staying under.

Cowboys vs. Bears odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Cowboys	Bears
Spread	-1.5 (-110)	+1.5 (-105)
Moneyline	-124	+106
Total	o50.5 (-104)	u50.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Cowboys vs. Bears picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Cowboys vs. Bears matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Cowboys vs. Bears TD scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Cowboys vs. Bears?

According to our model, Dallas' Javonte Williams is most likely to score the first TD in Cowboys vs. Bears.

Our projections give Williams an 11.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Cowboys running back is a 48.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Dallas Cowboys

Player	First TD Probability
Javonte Williams (RB)	11.7%
CeeDee Lamb (WR)	10.2%
George Pickens (WR)	7.0%

Chicago Bears

Player	First TD Probability
D'Andre Swift (RB)	8.7%
Rome Odunze (WR)	7.9%
DJ Moore (WR)	6.5%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Dallas Cowboys

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Javonte Williams (RB)	48.7%
CeeDee Lamb (WR)	44.1%
George Pickens (WR)	32.9%

Chicago Bears

Player	Anytime TD Probability
D'Andre Swift (RB)	38.8%
Rome Odunze (WR)	35.7%
DJ Moore (WR)	30.8%

Cowboys vs Bears player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Cowboys and Bears. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Cowboys-Bears page now to access every player prop projection.

Cowboys vs. Bears quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is projected to throw for more yards than the Bears' Caleb Williams.

Cowboys rushing

Javonte Williams, Miles Sanders and Dak Prescott are projected to be the leading rushers for the Cowboys.

Player	Position
Javonte Williams	RB
Miles Sanders	RB
Dak Prescott	QB

Bears rushing

D'Andre Swift, Caleb Williams and Kyle Monangai are expected to lead the Bears in rushing yards.

Player	Position
D'Andre Swift	RB
Caleb Williams	QB
Kyle Monangai	RB

Cowboys receiving

CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, Jake Ferguson, KaVontae Turpin and Javonte Williams are projected to top the receiving yards for the Cowboys.

Player	Position
CeeDee Lamb	WR
George Pickens	WR
Jake Ferguson	TE
KaVontae Turpin	WR
Javonte Williams	RB

Bears receiving

Rome Odunze, DJ Moore, Olamide Zaccheaus, Cole Kmet and Colston Loveland are projected to lead the Bears in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Rome Odunze	WR
DJ Moore	WR
Olamide Zaccheaus	WR
Cole Kmet	TE
Colston Loveland	TE

Cowboys vs. Bears game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 3 matchup between the Bears and Cowboys at Soldier Field is scheduled to commence at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Cowboys vs. Chicago Bears
• Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
• Time: 4:25PM ET/1:25PM PT
• Venue: Soldier Field

Dimers' in-depth preview of Sunday's Cowboys vs. Bears matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Cowboys vs. Bears picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Cowboys, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Bears in Week 3 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cowboys vs. Bears insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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