Cruz Azul vs. Toluca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [8/23/2025]

Cruz Azul and Toluca are scheduled to meet in Liga MX at Estadio Olímpico Universitario on Saturday, with kickoff at 11:05PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Cruz Azul as the most likely winner of today's game.

For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Cruz Azul vs. Toluca predictions page.

Cruz Azul vs. Toluca prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX game between Cruz Azul and Toluca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 48.3% chance of Cruz Azul winning, a 28.6% chance for Toluca, and a 23.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 60% chance of going over, according to our model.

Cruz Azul vs. Toluca odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Cruz Azul	Toluca	Draw
+115	+210	+275

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-170	+138

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Cruz Azul vs. Toluca picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Cruz Azul vs. Toluca matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Cruz Azul vs. Toluca: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
CAZ 1-1 TOL	10.5%
CAZ 2-1 TOL	9.4%
CAZ 1-0 TOL	7.9%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 61.1% chance of the yes hitting, and a 38.9% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Cruz Azul vs. Toluca game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between Cruz Azul and Toluca at Estadio Olímpico Universitario is scheduled to begin at 11:05PM ET.

• Who: Cruz Azul vs. Toluca
• Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025
• Time: 11:05PM ET/8:05PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Olímpico Universitario

Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Cruz Azul vs. Toluca matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Toluca vs. Cruz Azul picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Cruz Azul has a 48.3% win probability on Saturday, Toluca has a 28.6% win probability, and there is a 23.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cruz Azul vs. Toluca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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