Sun vs. Mercury Prediction: Phoenix Predicted to Win Tuesday's WNBA Matchup [8/5/2025]

The Phoenix Mercury and Connecticut Sun will lock horns in the WNBA at PHX Arena on Tuesday, starting at 10:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.

The Mercury, led by Kahleah Copper, Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas, will face off against the Sun, whose lineup includes Tina Charles, Marina Mabrey and Aneesah Morrow.

For further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Sun vs. Mercury predictions page.

Mercury vs. Sun Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's WNBA game between the Sun and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mercury an 86% chance of defeating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sun (+15.5) have a 63% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 170 points has a 56% chance of staying under.

Sun vs. Mercury Odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sun	Mercury
Spread	+15.5 (-110)	-15.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+700	-1050
Total	o170 (-110)	u170 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Sun vs. Mercury Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Sun vs. Mercury matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Sun vs. Mercury Player Props

Looking for Sun vs. Mercury WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at PHX Arena.

Tina Charles is expected to lead the Sun in scoring, while Kahleah Copper is projected to be the top scorer for the Mercury.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Sun vs. Mercury Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Tuesday's game between the Mercury and Sun at PHX Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury
• Date: Tuesday, August 5, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: PHX Arena

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Tuesday's Sun vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Sun vs. Mercury picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat the Sun on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sun vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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