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Colts Moneyline at This Sportsbook Unlocks the Smartest Bet for NFL Week 1

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Written by Nick Slade
Reviewed by Dave Garofolo

While most sports betting sites are aligned on Week 1 NFL favorites, BetMGM Sportsbook has delivered a prime opportunity that stands out from the pack.

NFL, Colts, Best Bet, Week 1, BetMGM promo code
QB Anthony Richardson will play a leading role in Week 1.

Week 1 of the NFL season is just around the corner, and savvy bettors are already scouring the lines for value. While many sports betting sites are aligning on certain favorites, BetMGM Sportsbook has delivered a prime opportunity that stands out from the pack in more ways than one. If you're looking for the best bet in NFL Week 1, look no further than the Indianapolis Colts moneyline at +100 on BetMGM, with the Colts +1.5 spread offering excellent insurance.

Colts Underdogs at +100 Odds: This Discrepancy is Your Edge

Most other major sportsbooks have installed the Indianapolis Colts as -1.5 point favorites against the Miami Dolphins. However, BetMGM is bucking this trend entirely, setting the Dolphins as -1.5 point favorites and -120 on the moneyline.

This is a significant discrepancy, and it’s where we can capitalize on both plus money odds and $150 worth of bonus bets on offer at BetMGM.

Dimers has an exclusive Bonus Code with BetMGM that triggers those $150 in bonus bets.

Simply follow the steps below to unlock them today.

BetMGM Bonus Code "DIMERS150" Details:

Supercharged BetMGM Bonus Code Offer Now Includes:

  • $150 in Bonus Bets – When your first $10 wager wins

  • Available In: New Jersey, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia

  • Bonus Code to Use: DIMERS150

How to Qualify for BetMGM Bonus Code DIMERS150:

Backed by Predictive Analytics

It's not just a hunch; the data supports the Colts. Dimers' highly respected predictive analytics model, known for its accuracy in NFL predictions, projects the Colts to win this game outright with a score of 23-22. This model assigns the Colts a 55% win probability, directly contradicting BetMGM's initial assessment of the Dolphins as favorites.

When the best NFL prediction models in the game are telling you one thing, and a sportsbook app is offering significantly better odds on that outcome, it's a clear signal to pounce.

Home Field Advantage in Lucas Oil Stadium

The game takes place at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, providing the Colts with a crucial home-field advantage. While the long range weather forecast on September 7th in Indianapolis is expected to be mild with a slight chance of rain (around 67°F and 12% chance of rain according to NFLWeather), the energy of the home crowd can undoubtedly play a role in a close contest.

The Colts have historically shown they can pack the house, boasting one of the highest attendance percentages in the NFL last year.

RELATED: 2025 NFL Season Win Totals: Predictions and Odds

The Value is Unbeatable

Getting the Colts at +100 on the moneyline means you're betting on them to win straight up, and if they do, you double your money. Given that most other books have them as slight favorites, this even-money payout is phenomenal value.

If you prefer a little more cushion, the Colts +1.5 at -110 also provides an excellent option. This means if the Colts win outright or lose by a single point, your bet still cashes. With Dimers predicting a one-point victory for the Colts, that +1.5 spread looks incredibly appealing.

The Verdict:

The BetMGM lines for the Colts vs. Dolphins Week 1 matchup present a clear opportunity for astute bettors. With Dimers' predictive model favoring the Colts, and the majority of other sportsbooks aligning with that sentiment, BetMGM's outlier odds offer significant value.

Don't miss out on what could be the best bet of NFL Week 1.

Lock in the Indianapolis Colts moneyline at +100 or play it safe with Colts +1.5 at -110 on BetMGM. 

Either way, let's start the NFL season with a bang by using the exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code "DIMERS150" to trigger those $150 in bonus bets right here while we're at it.

 
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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Dave Garofolo through our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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