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Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [2/15/2024]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
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The Tampa Bay Lightning and Colorado Avalanche will lock horns in the NHL at Amalie Arena on Thursday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview for Thursday's Avalanche vs. Lightning matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.
Avalanche vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread
We have used innovative machine learning and data to simulate the result of Thursday's NHL game between the Avalanche and Lightning 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NHL predictions.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lightning a 52% chance of beating the Avalanche.
According to our model, the Avalanche (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 52% chance of going under.
Avalanche vs. Lightning Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Avalanche | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-210) | -1.5 (+180) |
| Moneyline | +105 | -125 |
| Total | o6.5 (-135) | u6.5 (+114) |
- The Lightning are currently -1.5 favorites against the Avalanche, with +180 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
- For the underdog Avalanche (+1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -210.
- DraftKings currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -125. That means you can risk $125 to win $100 for a total payout of $225 if they get the W.
- BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Avalanche at +105, where you can bet $100 to profit $105, earning a total payout of $205 if they win.
- The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -135, while DraftKings currently has the best odds for the Under at +114.
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Avalanche vs. Lightning Picks
Our probabilities matched with the best odds reveal the top betting picks for this game, detailed in Dimers' best NHL bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:
| Bet Type | Our Pick | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Avalanche +1.5 | -210 |
| Moneyline | Avalanche | +105 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +114 |
While the Lightning are more likely to win the game, taking the Avalanche moneyline is the best option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.
Avalanche vs. Lightning Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Avalanche vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Colorado's Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score the first goal in Avalanche vs. Lightning.
Our projections give MacKinnon a 9.6% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Avalanche star is a 45.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 9.6% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 8.6% |
| Cale Makar | 4.0% |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 3.5% |
| Jonathan Drouin | 3.4% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov | 7.7% |
| Brayden Point | 7.5% |
| Steven Stamkos | 6.2% |
| Brandon Hagel | 6.0% |
| Nick Paul | 3.7% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 45.6% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 42.2% |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 23.2% |
| Cale Makar | 21.9% |
| Jonathan Drouin | 19.8% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 37.6% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 37.6% |
| Brandon Hagel | 31.0% |
| Steven Stamkos | 30.3% |
| Nick Paul | 19.8% |
Avs vs. Lightning Game Information
Thursday's game between the Lightning and Avalanche at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Thursday February 15, 2024
- Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
Our full betting coverage of Avalanche vs. Lightning includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.
Conclusion
This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate Avalanche vs. Lightning insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.
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