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Avalanche vs. Stars Prediction: Colorado Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [5/3/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars matchup.
The Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche will lock horns in the NHL Playoffs at American Airlines Center on Saturday, with puck drop at 8:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Avalanche as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Colorado-Dallas game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Avalanche are more likely to win, while the Stars have a lower chance of victory."
For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Avalanche vs. Stars predictions page.
Stars vs. Avs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL Playoffs game between the Avalanche and Stars 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 56% chance of defeating the Stars.
According to our model, the Stars (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over.
Avalanche vs. Stars Odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Avalanche | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+164) | +1.5 (-185) |
| Moneyline | -162 | +142 |
| Total | o5.5 (+104) | u5.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Avalanche vs. Stars Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Avalanche vs. Stars matchup is on the puck line.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Avalanche vs. Stars Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Avalanche vs. Stars?
According to our model, Colorado's Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score the first goal in Avalanche vs. Stars.
Our projections give MacKinnon a 7.9% chance of scoring the first goal at American Airlines Center, while the Avalanche star is a 38.7% chance of registering an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 7.9% |
| Martin Necas | 5.3% |
| Brock Nelson | 5.1% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 7.1% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 6.7% |
| Roope Hintz | 5.4% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 38.7% |
| Martin Necas | 26.5% |
| Brock Nelson | 26.5% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Mikko Rantanen | 36.4% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 34.2% |
| Roope Hintz | 29.4% |
Avs vs. Stars Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's matchup between the Stars and Avalanche in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars
- Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
The Stanley Cup Playoffs is an elimination tournament in the National Hockey League to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
A total of 16 teams, including the Avalanche and Stars, made the 2025 NHL Playoffs, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round of the NHL Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Avalanche vs. Stars matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Colorado vs. Dallas picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Avalanche, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Stars on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Avalanche vs. Stars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most accurate predictions for the Stanley Cup title.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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