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Hawthorn Hawks vs. Collingwood Magpies Prediction: Magpies Predicted to Win Thursday's AFL Round 22 Matchup [8/7/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies matchup.
The Hawthorn Hawks and Collingwood Magpies are scheduled to meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, starting at 5:30AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Magpies as the most likely winner of today's game.
For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Magpies vs. Hawks predictions page.
Hawks vs. Magpies Prediction: Who Will Win Round 22 Game?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's AFL game between the Magpies and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Magpies a 59% chance of defeating the Hawks.
According to our model, the Hawks (+7.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 162.5- over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Collingwood vs. Hawthorn Odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Magpies | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -164 | +125 |
| Line (Spread) | -7.5 (-115) | +7.5 (-115) |
| Total | o162.5 (-120) | u162.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Hawks vs. Magpies Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's Australian rules football matchup between the Hawks and Magpies at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 5:30AM ET.
- Who: Collingwood Magpies vs. Hawthorn Hawks
- Date: Thursday, August 7, 2025
- Time: 5:30AM ET/2:30AM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Magpies vs. Hawks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Collingwood vs. Hawthorn picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Magpies, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Magpies vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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