...
...
Read Article
Adelaide Crows vs. Collingwood Magpies prediction: Why Crows are favored to win AFL Finals week one matchup [9/4/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies predictions for AFL Thursday.
The Adelaide Crows and Collingwood Magpies will meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Adelaide Oval on Thursday, starting at 5:40AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven AFL model predicts the Crows as the most likely winner of today's game.
For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Magpies vs. Crows predictions page.
Crows vs. Magpies prediction: Who will win AFL Finals week one matchup?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's AFL game between the Magpies and Crows 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Crows a 60% chance of beating the Magpies.
According to our model, the Crows (-7.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 159.5- over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Collingwood vs. Adelaide odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Magpies | Crows |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +115 | -145 |
| Line (Spread) | +7.5 (-115) | -7.5 (-110) |
| Total | o159.5 (-110) | u159.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Crows vs. Magpies game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's Australian rules football matchup between the Crows and Magpies at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 5:40AM ET.
- Who: Collingwood Magpies vs. Adelaide Crows
- Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025
- Time: 5:40AM ET/2:40AM PT
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Magpies vs. Crows matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Collingwood vs. Adelaide picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Crows, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Magpies on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Magpies vs. Crows insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on AFL
Keep up with the latest AFL news and parlay picks throughout the season.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure