College football picks today: Week 1 Thursday best bets include two over/under plays [8/28/2025]

Today’s college football picks for August 28, 2025 are here, with Thursday’s college football best bets backed by thousands of predictive simulations analyzing the latest odds and matchups.

These college football best bets include matchups like Miami Ohio vs. Wisconsin and Stony Brook vs. San Diego State, with this article updated throughout the day to feature the highest-probability plays based on thousands of data-driven simulations from our predictive analytics model.

But if you're serious about long-term profit, it's not just about probability—it's about edge. To unlock our highest-edge college football bets—the ones with true long-term value—join Dimers Pro.

Pro members get unlimited access to everything Dimers has to offer on Thursday, August 28, 2025, including our complete suite of picks and best bets for today and the week ahead.

List of college football picks tonight [8/28, updated 8:32PM ET]

After diving deep into the numbers and running thousands of simulations, our independent predictive analytics model has figured out the best football bets for Thursday, August 28, 2025.

Miami Ohio vs. Wisconsin under 40.5 points (-105)

• Probability: 54.8%
• Edge: 3.6%
• Matchup: Miami Ohio vs. Wisconsin (9:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has pinpointed a high-probability college football betting opportunity tonight, which comes in the Miami Ohio vs. Wisconsin matchup. We recommend an over/under bet on under 40.5 points at -105 odds, with our analysis showing a 54.8% chance of hitting and a compelling edge of 3.6%.

Stony Brook vs. San Diego State under 54.5 points (-105)

• Probability: 53.9%
• Edge: 2.7%
• Matchup: Stony Brook vs. San Diego State (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has found another strong college football bet for Thursday's sports action, this time in the game between Stony Brook and San Diego State. We suggest placing an over/under wager on under 54.5 points at -105 odds, with a 53.9% probability delivering a 2.7% edge.

Cincinnati ML (+195)

• Probability: 37.1%
• Edge: 4.3%
• Matchup: Nebraska vs. Cincinnati (9:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has found another strong college football bet for tonight's college football action,this time in the Nebraska vs. Cincinnati game. We recommend a bet on Cincinnati ML at +195 odds. Our model shows a 37.1% probability and 4.3% edge for this wager.

NCAAF best bets: Thursday, 8/28/2025

As of 8:32PM ET, here are our top three college football bets by probability recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Probability	Edge
Miami Ohio vs. Wisconsin	Under 40.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	54.8%	3.6%
Stony Brook vs. San Diego State	Under 54.5 Points	-105 @ FanDuel	53.9%	2.7%
Nebraska vs. Cincinnati	Cincinnati ML	+195 @ DraftKings	37.1%	4.3%

The bets listed here are sorted by win probability—but the real path to profit lies in high-edge plays. Dimers Pro unlocks instant access to the most valuable bets across all sports, powered by our advanced predictive model.

Among today's NCAAF picks is a -110 spread bet with a 6.5% edge—the kind of high-upside play that makes a difference over time.

Join Dimers Pro now to access these picks, as well as a comprehensive range of props, trends and parlays for August 28, 2025.

List of upcoming college football games to bet on now

• Nebraska vs. Cincinnati (9:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Miami Ohio vs. Wisconsin (9:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Stony Brook vs. San Diego State (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Tarleton State vs. Army (6:00PM ET, Friday)
• Campbell vs. Rhode Island (6:00PM ET, Friday)
• Kennesaw State vs. Wake Forest (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Appalachian State vs. Charlotte (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Western Michigan vs. Michigan State (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• New Haven vs. Marist (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Bethune-Cookman vs. Florida International (7:00PM ET, Friday)

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More on college football

The best on this page form part of our college football player props and college football best bets series.

For more NCAAF betting content, we have college football betting news and the latest National Championship odds and predictions.

Conclusion

Our college football best bets are locked and loaded for August 28, 2025, featuring plays such as under 40.5 points in the Miami Ohio vs. Wisconsin matchup and under 54.5 points in the Stony Brook vs. San Diego State matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college football insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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