Cavaliers vs. Pacers Prediction: Cleveland to Win, Donovan Mitchell Projected for Big Game in Sunday's NBA Matchup [5/11/2025]

The Indiana Pacers will square off with the favored Cleveland Cavaliers in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday, commencing at 8:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Cleveland-Indiana game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Cavaliers with a win probability of 69%, while the Pacers have 31%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pacers lineup will feature players like Pascal Siakam, Tyrese Haliburton and Myles Turner, while the Cavaliers will rely on Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley and Darius Garland.

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Cavaliers vs. Pacers predictions page.

Pacers vs. Cavs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Cavaliers and Pacers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Cavaliers a 69% chance of defeating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 117-112.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Cavaliers and Pacers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 230.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Cavaliers vs. Pacers Odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Cavaliers	Pacers
Spread	-5.5 (-102)	+5.5 (-114)
Moneyline	-220	+188
Total	o230.5 (-110)	u230.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Cavaliers vs. Pacers Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Cavaliers vs. Pacers matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Cavaliers vs. Pacers Player Props

Betting on Cleveland vs. Indiana NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Donovan Mitchell is expected to lead the Cavaliers in scoring, while Pascal Siakam is projected to be the top scorer for the Pacers.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Cavs vs. Pacers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's matchup between the Pacers and Cavaliers in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Indiana Pacers
• Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
• NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule

The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to decide the league's champion.

Sixteen teams, including the Cavaliers and Pacers, reached the 2025 NBA Playoffs, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.

Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Cavaliers vs. Pacers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Cleveland vs. Indiana picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Cavaliers, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cavaliers vs. Pacers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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