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Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Picks, Predictions and Props: Sunday September 12, 2021
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Last season's runners up, the Kansas City Chiefs, play host to one of the most popular dark horse Super Bowl picks in Week 1, with the Cleveland Browns travelling down to Missouri for a playoffs rematch.
The 2021 NFL season continues on Sunday September 12, 2021, and, as always, Dimers.com has simulated Browns vs. Chiefs 10,000 times to determine where the value lies for football bettors across the United States.
With NFL betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every week at Dimers, check out our top plays for this NFL 2021 Week 1 matchup.
Today's NFL best bets and odds are proudly brought to you by TwinSpires Sportsbook.
NFL 2021 Week 1: Browns vs. Chiefs
💰 Best Bet
The Chiefs look set to be in contention once again but another AFC team that is likely to be there at the pointy end of the season is the Browns.
Cleveland took a big step last season, making the playoffs and winning a postseason game against the Steelers. Now, with some defensive additions and Odell Beckham Jr. back from injury, they'll be keen to take it a step or two further.
DimersBOT rates the Browns as a 57% chance of covering the spread here, and they're also worth a little sprinkle at the moneyline.
You can see all live probabilities in the interactive widget below. Remember, our predictive analytics model is constantly simulating every NFL matchup to find the best value on the spread, moneyline, over/under and player props!
PICK: Browns to cover @ TwinSpires (-110)
🔥 Best Player Prop
Although we just talked so strongly about the Browns and their defensive additions, it would be remiss of us to not talk about just how good the Chiefs are.
Kansas City is rightfully the Super Bowl favorites (more on that below) and with offensive talent like Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek Hill, it's not hard to see why.
Hill's receiving yards line sits at 83.5 this game, with our predictive analytics model projecting him to get 102! This looks look a much play and is one of those bets that could cash early if Mahomes and Hill get going like we know they can.
PICK: Tyreek Hill OVER 83.5 receiving yards (-113) @ TwinSpires
TwinSpires not available in your state? We recommend Caesars Sportsbook as the next best option. Get a RISK-FREE BET up to $5,000 + a free NFL Jersey when you join with Dimers.
🎁 Best Sportsbook Promo
The Chiefs come into this game as favorites (as they should) meaning there isn't a lot of value betting them at the moneyline. But, that doesn't mean there isn't a nice and easy way to cash in on them getting the dub in this one!
If you place a $50 bet on KC to win the Super Bowl with Twinspires Sportsbook, you'll score yourself $10 every time they win this season. Yep, even if they don't win the big one, you'll be in the black as soon as they win their fifth game of the season (they won 14 last year)!
CLAIM: TwinSpires Super Bowl promotion
As it stands, our model has the Chiefs as the best chance of winning the Super Bowl this season, but if you're feeling any other team you can check out the Super Bowl probabilities for every team in the NFL.
MORE: Browns vs. Chiefs picks and predictions
NFL 2021 Week 1 Schedule
Thursday September 9, 2021
Sunday September 12, 2021
- Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons, 1PM ET
- Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills, 1PM ET
- New York Jets at Carolina Panthers, 1PM ET
- Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals, 1PM ET
- San Francisco 49ers at Detroit Lions, 1PM ET
- Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans, 1PM ET
- Seattle Seahawks at Indianapolis Colts, 1PM ET
- Arizona Cardinals at Tennessee Titans, 1PM ET
- Los Angeles Chargers at Washington Football Team, 1PM ET
- Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs, 4:25PM ET
- Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots, 4:25PM ET
- Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints, 4:25PM ET
- Denver Broncos at New York Giants, 4:25PM ET
- Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Rams, 8:20PM ET (Sunday Night Football)
Monday September 13, 2021
Ready to join a sportsbook but TwinSpires isn't available in your state yet? Check out the best sports betting promos available in your state.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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