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Bengals vs. Broncos prediction: Denver favored to win MNF Week 4, 2025

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos predictions for NFL Monday.

Cincinnati Bengals-Denver Broncos Predictions and Game Preview.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos NFL prediction for Monday, September 29, 2025.

The Denver Broncos will take on the Cincinnati Bengals in NFL Week 4 action at Empower Field at Mile High on Monday, beginning at 8:15PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Broncos as the most likely winner of today's game.

This gameday Bengals vs. Broncos betting preview builds on my Bengals vs. Broncos prediction that was posted earlier in the week.

For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Bengals vs. Broncos predictions page.

Bengals vs. Broncos Predictions

Since our Bengals-Broncos predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Monday's NFL matchup between the Bengals and Broncos 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Broncos a 74% chance of defeating the Bengals in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Broncos winning 25-18.

According to our model, the Bengals (+7.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Bengals vs. Broncos odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Bengals Broncos
Spread +7.5 (-108) -7.5 (-110)
Moneyline +360 -450
Total o44.5 (-105) u44.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Bengals vs. Broncos picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Bengals vs. Broncos matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Bengals vs. Broncos TD scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Bengals vs. Broncos?

According to our model, Denver's J.K. Dobbins is most likely to score the first TD in Bengals vs. Broncos.

Our projections give Dobbins a 13.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Empower Field at Mile High, while the Broncos running back is a 52.0% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Cincinnati Bengals

Player First TD Probability
Chase Brown (RB) 10.1%
Ja'Marr Chase (WR) 7.9%
Tee Higgins (WR) 6.1%

Denver Broncos

Player First TD Probability
J.K. Dobbins (RB) 13.9%
Courtland Sutton (WR) 8.4%
Troy Franklin (WR) 5.7%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Cincinnati Bengals

Player Anytime TD Probability
Chase Brown (RB) 46.9%
Ja'Marr Chase (WR) 38.9%
Tee Higgins (WR) 31.5%

Denver Broncos

Player Anytime TD Probability
J.K. Dobbins (RB) 52.0%
Courtland Sutton (WR) 35.9%
Troy Franklin (WR) 25.9%

Bengals vs Broncos player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bengals and Broncos. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Bengals-Broncos page now to access every player prop projection.

Bengals vs. Broncos quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bengals' Jake Browning is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Broncos' Bo Nix.

Bengals rushing

Chase Brown, Tahj Brooks and Samaje Perine are projected to be the leading rushers for the Bengals.

Player Position
Chase Brown RB
Tahj Brooks RB
Samaje Perine RB

Broncos rushing

J.K. Dobbins, RJ Harvey and Bo Nix are expected to lead the Broncos in rushing yards.

Player Position
J.K. Dobbins RB
RJ Harvey RB
Bo Nix QB

Bengals receiving

Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Mike Gesicki, Chase Brown and Andrei Iosivas are projected to top the receiving yards for the Bengals.

Player Position
Ja'Marr Chase WR
Tee Higgins WR
Mike Gesicki TE
Chase Brown RB
Andrei Iosivas WR

Broncos receiving

Courtland Sutton, Troy Franklin, Marvin Mims, Evan Engram and RJ Harvey are projected to lead the Broncos in receiving yards.

Player Position
Courtland Sutton WR
Troy Franklin WR
Marvin Mims WR
Evan Engram TE
RJ Harvey RB

Bengals vs. Broncos game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 4 action between the Broncos and Bengals at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to commence at 8:15PM ET.

Dimers' in-depth preview of Monday's Bengals vs. Broncos matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Bengals vs. Broncos picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Broncos, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Bengals in Week 4 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bengals vs. Broncos insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL news and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the most up-to-date projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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