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Chiefs vs. Jaguars Week 2 Prediction and Odds - September 17, 2023

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Written by Dimers Data
Chiefs vs. Jaguars Week 2 Prediction and Odds - September 17, 2023

The Jacksonville Jaguars and Kansas City Chiefs will lock horns in Week 2 of the NFL season at TIAA Bank Field on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Chiefs vs. Jaguars, as well as game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed in this article.

This Kansas City vs. Jacksonville betting analysis is brought to you by Bet365, which has an awesome Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets promo for new users.

Who Will Win: Chiefs vs. Jaguars

Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Chiefs-Jaguars NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Chiefs a 57% chance of defeating the Jaguars in Week 2 of the NFL season.

More: Chiefs vs. Jaguars Simulated 10K Times

Chiefs vs. Jaguars Odds

  • Spread: Jaguars +3.5 (-115), Chiefs -3.5 (-102)
  • Moneyline: Jaguars +144, Chiefs -165
  • Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110)

The Jaguars are listed as +3.5 underdogs against the Chiefs, with -115 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the favored Chiefs (-3.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -102.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Jaguars at +144. That means you can bet $100 to profit $144, earning a total payout of $244, if they win.

Meanwhile, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -165, where you can risk $165 to win $100, for a total payout of $265, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check all the sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Jaguars (+3.5) have a 65% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 50.5 points has a 52% chance of going Under.

More: Predictions for Every NFL Matchup

Best Bets: Chiefs vs. Jaguars

 

If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Dimers' best free picks of the day across any sport.

Dimers' best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to help you make more informed decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.

While the Chiefs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Jaguars moneyline is the best option due to the 2.1% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers.com is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Chiefs vs. Jaguars Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Kansas City vs. Jacksonville at TIAA Bank Field in Week 2 has the Chiefs winning 26-24.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

 

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Chiefs-Jaguars game in Week 2, including pregame predictions, free betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Chiefs vs. Jaguars Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chiefs vs. Jaguars? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Chiefs and Jaguars, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is most likely to score the first TD in Chiefs vs. Jaguars.

DimersBOT gives Kelce a 9.0% chance of scoring the first TD at TIAA Bank Field, while the Chiefs TE is a 40.8% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Travis Kelce: 9.0% probability
  • Isiah Pacheco: 7.9% probability
  • Kadarius Toney: 5.8% probability
  • Jerick McKinnon: 5.3% probability
  • Skyy Moore: 4.2% probability

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Calvin Ridley: 8.4% probability
  • Travis Etienne: 7.9% probability
  • Trevor Lawrence: 5.4% probability
  • Evan Engram: 5.1% probability
  • Zay Jones: 5.0% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Travis Kelce: 40.8% probability
  • Isiah Pacheco: 37.8% probability
  • Kadarius Toney: 29.2% probability
  • Jerick McKinnon: 27.8% probability
  • Rashee Rice: 22.0% probability

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Calvin Ridley: 40.6% probability
  • Travis Etienne: 38.7% probability
  • Trevor Lawrence: 27.5% probability
  • Evan Engram: 26.4% probability
  • Christian Kirk: 25.9% probability

Chiefs-Jaguars Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected to have a big game with 280 passing yards. The Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is expected to throw for 244 yards.

Chiefs Starting QB

  • Patrick Mahomes: 280 projected yards

Jaguars Starting QB

  • Trevor Lawrence: 244 projected yards

Chiefs Rushing

  • Isiah Pacheco: 60 projected yards
  • Patrick Mahomes: 24 projected yards
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 13 projected yards

Jaguars Rushing

  • Travis Etienne: 70 projected yards
  • Tank Bigsby: 25 projected yards
  • Trevor Lawrence: 21 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving

  • Travis Kelce: 77 projected yards
  • Skyy Moore: 40 projected yards
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 40 projected yards
  • Kadarius Toney: 35 projected yards
  • Richie James: 34 projected yards

Jaguars Receiving

  • Calvin Ridley: 69 projected yards
  • Evan Engram: 45 projected yards
  • Zay Jones: 43 projected yards
  • Christian Kirk: 42 projected yards
  • Travis Etienne: 25 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so keep an eye on this article for any changes to our betting analysis before Chiefs vs. Jaguars on Sunday September 17, 2023.

 

Chiefs vs. Jaguars 2023

The NFL Week 2 matchup between the Jaguars and Chiefs at TIAA Bank Field is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL now? Check out the best sportsbook offers in your state, including DraftKings Sportsbook, where you get $200 in bonus bets for signing up and bettting $5 on Kansas City vs. Jacksonville.

Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions Today

Dimers' picks are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Chiefs vs. Jaguars predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want More NFL Predictions Like This?

To get more NFL betting previews like you've just read for Chiefs vs. Jaguars, all you've gotta do is visit our NFL Betting News page. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find edges in the markets so we can publish the best NFL betting previews available. We do this by comparing our in-house probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) as soon as they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – check out our NFL picks and predictions.

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, we also feature the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the top odds available every day of the NFL season.

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Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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