Chiefs vs. Giants parlay: Best odds for three NFL prop bets on Sunday Night Football

It's Week 3 in the NFL and we're wrapping up NFL Sunday with another Primetime Parlay built with the Dimers model for tonight's Kansas City Chiefs vs. New York Giants Sunday Night Football matchup on September 21, 2025.

This is our biggest NFL season yet on Dimers, with the launch of our brand-new NFL Player Projections Hub, complete with boxscores and fantasy projections, our improved NFL models and the rollout of our new Dimers Sports Betting Podcast.

To close out NFL Sunday, we're using our model's Sunday Night Football predictions to build a +625 Same game parlay boosted to +750 over on bet365, where new users can claim a $200 bonus using the bet365 bonus code DIMERS.

+625 Chiefs vs. Giants NFL Same Game Parlay Picks (Boosted to +750)

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our three-leg same game parlay in Chiefs vs. Giants on Sunday Night Football, September 21.

MORE: Chiefs vs. Giants SNF Full Game Betting Preview

Leg 1: Malik Nabers 70+ Receiving Yards

First up is Giants superstar WR Malik Nabers, who's coming off one of the best games of his young career.

Nabers hauled in 167 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns on 13 targets in a shootout vs. the Cowboys on Sunday, following up his 71-yard, 12-target performance in Week 1. The Dimers model projects a follow-up performance of 83.3 receiving yards on 6.1 receptions.

The speedy Nabers makes huge plays, with a catch of 20+ yards in both games this season, and in 10 games last year and he's now hit 70+ yards in 9 of his career 17 games.

The Chiefs didn't face much of passing front by the Eagles last week as the team opted for 34 carries, but allowed two WRs to record 70+ yards in Week 1, plus another for 68 yards.

Russell Wilson will have to air the ball out to continue finding success in this offense so expect Nabers to be busy under the lights on Sunday Night Football.

Leg 2: Patrick Mahomes 30+ Rushing Yards

Next up, we're backing the Chiefs leading rusher, QB Patrick Mahomes.

Yes, you read that correctly. Mahomes has 123 rushing yards through two games - more than the rest of the Chiefs offense combined. 

It's been a bleak start to the season for Kansas City, who must establish a run game if they want to turn their season around, but in the meantime, Mahomes will continue to do what he does, which is everything possible to make a play. 

He's crushed this in two games so far, with 57 and 66 rushing yards and a TD in each, hitting a long run of 15+ in both games.

In Week 1, the Giants allowed 68 rushing yards to Jayden Daniels and a 14-yard rush to Dak Prescott, who doesn't run, in Week 2.

The Dimers model projects Mahomes right at this mark with 30.8 rushing yards and we'll trust his upside in a good matchup on SNF.

MORE: The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast - Episode 5 

Leg 3: Isiah Pacheco Anytime TD Scorer

We're closing out with a TD prop and safe to say the Chiefs would like to see RB Isiah Pacheco make his way into the endzone just as much as want him to tonight.

Pacheco saw his carries double from 5 in Week 1 to 10 in Week 2 along with 3 targets. The Chiefs running game has not been efficient but they must establish this facet of their game - Pacheco had 9 touchdowns in his last healthy season.

If there were a game, it would be this one. The Chiefs need a win and the Giants have allowed 355 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns through their first two games, the most in the NFL.

The Dimers model projects Pacheco with a 30.4% anytime TD probability on Sunday Night Football.

Bet tonight's Chiefs-Giants SGP with a boost at Bet365 sportsbook - odds correct at publishing and subject to change.

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