Chiefs vs. Chargers Week 11 Prediction and Odds - Nov 20, 2022

The Los Angeles Chargers square off with the Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 11 action at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 8:20PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Chiefs vs. Chargers, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed below.

Who will win Chiefs vs. Chargers?

Based on trusted computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Chiefs-Chargers NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Chiefs a 65% chance of winning against the Chargers in Week 11 of the NFL season.

More: Full Betting Guide for Chiefs vs. Chargers

Chiefs vs. Chargers Game Odds

• Spread: Chargers +5.5 (-110), Chiefs -5.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Chargers +205, Chiefs -230
• Total: Over/Under 52.5 (-105/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Chargers are +5.5 underdogs against the Chiefs, with -110 at Caesars Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Chiefs (-5.5) to cover the spread, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at -105.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chargers at +205, which means you can bet $100 to profit $205, earning a total payout of $305, if they win.

Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -230, where you can risk $230 to win $100, for a total payout of $330, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 52.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Chargers (+5.5) are a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 52.5-point Over/Under is a 51% chance of going Over.

More: Track Your Bets via Bet Center

Best Bets for Chiefs vs. Chargers

• Spread: Chargers +5.5 @ -110 via Caesars Sportsbook (54% probability)
• Moneyline: Chargers @ +205 via FanDuel Sportsbook (1.8% edge)
• Total: Over 52.5 @ -105 via PointsBet (51% probability)

Our best bets are based on detailed modeling and wagering intelligence to help you make smarter investments with your state's legal sportsbooks.

While the Chiefs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Chargers moneyline is the best option due to the 1.8% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Kansas City vs. LA Chargers at SoFi Stadium in Week 11 has the Chiefs winning 28-24.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Chiefs-Chargers matchup in Week 11, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Chiefs vs. Chargers Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Chargers? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Chiefs and Chargers, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is most likely to score the first TD in Chiefs vs. Chargers.

DimersBOT gives Kelce a 12.8% chance of getting in for six first at SoFi Stadium, while the Chiefs TE is a 57.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Kansas City Chiefs

• Travis Kelce: 12.8% probability
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 6.3% probability
• Isiah Pacheco: 6.1% probability
• Kadarius Toney: 6.0% probability
• Patrick Mahomes: 4.7% probability

Los Angeles Chargers

• Austin Ekeler: 11.9% probability
• Mike Williams: 7.4% probability
• Keenan Allen: 5.4% probability
• Tre' McKitty: 5.1% probability
• Joshua Palmer: 3.3% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Kansas City Chiefs

• Travis Kelce: 57.0% probability
• Isiah Pacheco: 32.4% probability
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 31.7% probability
• Kadarius Toney: 30.7% probability
• Patrick Mahomes: 25.6% probability

Los Angeles Chargers

• Austin Ekeler: 56.0% probability
• Mike Williams: 38.2% probability
• Keenan Allen: 28.0% probability
• Tre' McKitty: 27.0% probability
• Joshua Palmer: 19.6% probability

Chiefs-Chargers Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected to have a big game with 317 passing yards. The Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for a whopping 317 yards.

Chiefs Starting QB

• Patrick Mahomes: 317 projected yards

Chargers Starting QB

• Justin Herbert: 317 projected yards

Chiefs Rushing

• Isiah Pacheco: 54 projected yards
• Patrick Mahomes: 28 projected yards
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 16 projected yards

Chargers Rushing

• Austin Ekeler: 51 projected yards
• Isaiah Spiller: 16 projected yards
• Justin Herbert: 10 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving

• Travis Kelce: 91 projected yards
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 67 projected yards
• Kadarius Toney: 51 projected yards
• Justin Watson: 32 projected yards
• Skyy Moore: 28 projected yards

Chargers Receiving

• Mike Williams: 52 projected yards
• Keenan Allen: 51 projected yards
• Austin Ekeler: 49 projected yards
• Joshua Palmer: 39 projected yards
• Tre' McKitty: 37 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so keep an eye on this article for any changes to our betting insights before Chiefs vs. Chargers on Sunday November 20, 2022.

Chiefs vs. Chargers 2022

The NFL Week 11 game between the Chargers and Chiefs at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:20PM ET.

• Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers
• Date: Sunday November 20, 2022
• Time: 8:20PM ET / 5:20PM PT
• Venue: SoFi Stadium

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