Sky vs. Mercury prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Thursday's WNBA matchup [8/28/2025]

The Phoenix Mercury and Chicago Sky will meet in the WNBA at PHX Arena on Thursday, with tipoff at 10:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.

The Mercury, with star players such as Kahleah Copper, Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas, will face off against the Sky, whose lineup includes Ariel Atkins, Kamilla Cardoso and Angel Reese.

For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Sky vs. Mercury predictions page.

Mercury vs. Sky prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Sky and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Mercury an 83% chance of beating the Sky.

According to our model, the Sky (+12.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 164.5 points has a 55% chance of going over.

Sky vs. Mercury odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sky	Mercury
Spread	+12.5 (-110)	-12.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+550	-700
Total	o164.5 (-110)	u164.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Sky vs. Mercury picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Sky vs. Mercury matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Sky vs. Mercury player props

WNBA player props are a great way to wager on Thursday's Chicago vs. Phoenix matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at PHX Arena.

Ariel Atkins is expected to lead the Sky in scoring, while Kahleah Copper is projected to be the top scorer for the Mercury.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Sky vs. Mercury game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's game between the Mercury and Sky at PHX Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury
• Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: PHX Arena

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Sky vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Sky vs. Mercury picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat the Sky on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sky vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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