Cubs vs. Mets Prediction: Mets Predicted to Win Sunday's MLB Matchup [5/11/2025]

The New York Mets will face the Chicago Cubs in MLB action at Citi Field on Sunday, starting at 12:05PM ET.

The Mets will send Griffin Canning (5-1, 2.50 ERA) to the mound, while the Cubs are going with Matthew Boyd (3-2, 2.75 ERA).

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's CHI Cubs-NY Mets game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Mets with a win probability of 55%, while the Cubs have 45%."

For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Cubs vs. Mets predictions page.

Mets vs. Cubs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Cubs and Mets 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Mets a 55% chance of beating the Cubs.

According to our model, the Cubs (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8 runs has a 52% chance of going over.

Cubs vs. Mets Odds [5/11/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Cubs	Mets
Run Line	+1.5 (-194)	-1.5 (+170)
Moneyline	+110	-130
Total	o8 (-115)	u8 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Cubs vs. Mets Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Cubs vs. Mets matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Cubs vs. Mets Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB action between the Mets and Cubs at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 12:05PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets
• Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
• Time: 12:05PM ET/9:05AM PT
• Venue: Citi Field

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Cubs vs. Mets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any CHI Cubs vs. NY Mets picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

• Explore how MLB odds work and dive into MLB live betting strategies
• Understand where sports odds come from and how they're applied to baseball matchups
• Learn how to use Dimers Futures to find long-term betting opportunities as the World Series draws closer
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• Boost your success with strategies to win at sports betting and explore why MLB is one of the best leagues to bet on

Conclusion

We predict the Mets, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Cubs on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cubs vs. Mets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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