Bears vs. Raiders prediction: Las Vegas favored to win in NFL Week 4, 2025

The Las Vegas Raiders will square off with the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 4 action at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 4:25PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Raiders as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Bears-Raiders game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Raiders with a win probability of 55%, while the Bears have 45%."

This gameday Bears vs. Raiders betting preview builds on my Bears vs. Raiders prediction that was published earlier in the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Bears vs. Raiders predictions page.

Bears vs. Raiders Predictions

Since our Bears-Raiders predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Bears and Raiders 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Raiders a 55% chance of defeating the Bears in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Raiders winning 24-22.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Bears and Raiders each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 48-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

Bears vs. Raiders odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Bears	Raiders
Spread	+1.5 (-105)	-1.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+110	-125
Total	o48 (-110)	u48 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Bears vs. Raiders picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Bears vs. Raiders matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Bears vs. Raiders TD scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Bears vs. Raiders?

According to our model, Las Vegas' Ashton Jeanty is most likely to score the first TD in Bears vs. Raiders.

Our projections give Jeanty a 13.8% chance of scoring the first TD at Allegiant Stadium, while the Raiders running back is a 46.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Chicago Bears

Player	First TD Probability
D'Andre Swift (RB)	8.6%
Rome Odunze (WR)	8.3%
DJ Moore (WR)	6.5%

Las Vegas Raiders

Player	First TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB)	13.8%
Jakobi Meyers (WR)	8.1%
Brock Bowers (TE)	8.0%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Chicago Bears

Player	Anytime TD Probability
D'Andre Swift (RB)	36.7%
Rome Odunze (WR)	35.5%
DJ Moore (WR)	29.1%

Las Vegas Raiders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB)	46.9%
Jakobi Meyers (WR)	31.0%
Brock Bowers (TE)	30.9%

Bears vs Raiders player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bears and Raiders. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Bears-Raiders page now to access every player prop projection.

Bears vs. Raiders quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Caleb Williams is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Raiders' Geno Smith.

Bears rushing

D'Andre Swift, Caleb Williams and Kyle Monangai are projected to be the leading rushers for the Bears.

Player	Position
D'Andre Swift	RB
Caleb Williams	QB
Kyle Monangai	RB

Raiders rushing

Ashton Jeanty, Zamir White and Geno Smith are expected to lead the Raiders in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Ashton Jeanty	RB
Zamir White	RB
Geno Smith	QB

Bears receiving

Rome Odunze, DJ Moore, Olamide Zaccheaus, Cole Kmet and D'Andre Swift are projected to top the receiving yards for the Bears.

Player	Position
Rome Odunze	WR
DJ Moore	WR
Olamide Zaccheaus	WR
Cole Kmet	TE
D'Andre Swift	RB

Raiders receiving

Jakobi Meyers, Brock Bowers, Tre Tucker, Dont'e Thornton and Ashton Jeanty are projected to lead the Raiders in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Jakobi Meyers	WR
Brock Bowers	TE
Tre Tucker	WR
Dont'e Thornton	WR
Ashton Jeanty	RB

Bears vs. Raiders game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 4 action between the Raiders and Bears at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Bears vs. Las Vegas Raiders
• Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
• Time: 4:25PM ET/1:25PM PT
• Venue: Allegiant Stadium

Dimers' comprehensive preview of this week's Bears vs. Raiders matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Bears vs. Raiders picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Raiders, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Bears in Week 4 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bears vs. Raiders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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