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Chargers vs. Texans Predictions and Odds - Dec 26, 2021

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Written by Dimers Data
Chargers vs. Texans Predictions and Odds - Dec 26, 2021

NFL Week 16 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM EST as the favored Los Angeles Chargers square off with the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium.

Dimers' best betting picks for Chargers vs. Texans, as well as game predictions, best odds and player props, are detailed in this article.

 

Who will win Chargers vs. Texans?

Using cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Chargers-Texans NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Chargers an 87% chance of defeating the Texans.

MORE: Full Betting Guide for Chargers vs. Texans

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Texans are +13.5 underdogs versus the Chargers, with -110 at BetMGM the best odds available.

For the favored Chargers (-13.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds on offer at -105.

BetMGM has the best moneyline odds for the Texans at +500. That means you can bet $100 to profit $500, earning a total payout of $600, if they win.

Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best moneyline odds for the Chargers at -650, where you can risk $650 to win $100, for a total payout of $750, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under sits at 45.5 with BetMGM, which has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Texans (+13.5) are a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 45.5-point Over/Under is a 52% chance of going Under.

MORE: Predictions for Every NFL Week 16 Matchup

Best Bets for Chargers vs. Texans

  • Spread: Texans +13.5 at -110 with BetMGM (54% probability)
  • Moneyline: Chargers Win at -650 with DraftKings Sportsbook (87% probability)
  • Over/Under: Under 45.5 at -110 with BetMGM (52% probability)

 

Chargers vs. Texans Score Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for LA Chargers vs. Houston at NRG Stadium on Sunday has the Chargers winning 28-16.

Use our interactive widget below to see the latest Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline probabilities and odds for the game, and click or tap on See Matchup for more.

 

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Chargers-Texans matchup, including pre-game predictions, computer picks, and live scores.

Chargers vs. Texans Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Chargers vs. Texans? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Chargers and Texans, as well as projected player stats.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Los Angeles' Keenan Allen is most likely to score the first TD in Chargers vs. Texans.

DimersBOT gives Allen a 14.5% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Chargers WR is a 53.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

 

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Keenan Allen: 14.5% probability
  • Justin Jackson: 13.1% probability
  • Justin Herbert: 8.2% probability
  • Jared Cook: 7.8% probability
  • Joshua Kelley: 7.5% probability

Houston Texans

  • Rex Burkhead: 11.6% probability
  • Brevin Jordan: 5.5% probability
  • Pharaoh Brown: 4.3% probability
  • Nico Collins: 4.3% probability
  • Jordan Akins: 2.9% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Keenan Allen: 53.9% probability
  • Justin Jackson: 50.2% probability
  • Justin Herbert: 36.6% probability
  • Jared Cook: 33.2% probability
  • Joshua Kelley: 32.7% probability

Houston Texans

  • Rex Burkhead: 47.2% probability
  • Brevin Jordan: 26.5% probability
  • Pharaoh Brown: 21.2% probability
  • Nico Collins: 20.7% probability
  • Jordan Akins: 15.0% probability

Projected Box Score

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is projected to have a big game with 266 passing yards and 2.3 passing touchdowns, while the Texans' Davis Mills is expected to throw for 209 yards and 1.1 TDs.

Chargers Starting QB

  • Justin Herbert: 266 Passing Yards, 2.3 Passing TDs

Texans Starting QB

  • Davis Mills: 209 Passing Yards, 1.1 Passing TDs

Chargers Rushing

  • Justin Jackson: 57 Rushing Yards, 0.4 TDs
  • Joshua Kelley: 30 Rushing Yards, 0.2 TDs
  • Justin Herbert: 21 Rushing Yards, 0.3 TDs

Texans Rushing

  • Rex Burkhead: 51 Rushing Yards, 0.3 TDs
  • Royce Freeman: 18 Rushing Yards, 0.1 TDs
  • Davis Mills: 6 Rushing Yards, 0.1 TDs

Chargers Receiving

  • Keenan Allen: 70 Receiving Yards, 0.6 TDs
  • Jared Cook: 34 Receiving Yards, 0.3 TDs
  • Josh Palmer: 19 Receiving Yards, 0.2 TDs
  • Justin Jackson: 18 Receiving Yards, 0.1 TDs
  • Stephen Anderson: 12 Receiving Yards, 0.1 TDs

Texans Receiving

  • Brevin Jordan: 28 Receiving Yards, 0.2 TDs
  • Nico Collins: 28 Receiving Yards, 0.1 TDs
  • Chris Conley: 23 Receiving Yards, 0.1 TDs
  • Pharaoh Brown: 20 Receiving Yards, 0.1 TDs
  • Jordan Akins: 16 Receiving Yards, 0.1 TDs

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting insights before Chargers vs. Texans on Sunday December 26, 2021.

 

Bet $10, Win $200 if Chargers or Texans Score a TD

BetMGM, the king of sportsbooks, is offering new users the opportunity to Bet $10, Win $200 if the Chargers or Texans score a touchdown on Sunday.

That's right – bet 10 bucks and get 200 bucks in Free Bets if either team finds the end zone. It's that simple.

To take advantage of this promo, join BetMGM via this exclusive link, deposit $10+ and place, as your first real-money bet after opening your account, a single $10 pre-game, moneyline wager on LA Chargers vs. Houston.

If either team scores a TD, you'll receive $200 in Free Bets from BetMGM. How good is that!

Note: when you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.

Chargers vs. Texans 2021 Game Info

When do the Texans play the Chargers?

  • Date: Sunday December 26, 2021
  • Time: 1:00PM EST / 10:00AM PST
  • Venue: NRG Stadium

Looking to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL? We've listed the best available welcome offers for every legal betting state.

Want more NFL previews like this?

So, you liked our Chargers vs. Texans betting predictions? Awesome. Did you know our NFL Betting News page has a comprehensive betting preview for every NFL matchup the second the sportsbooks put out their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find edges in the markets. This allows us to write the most reliable NFL betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.

It's only a click away, so why not see for yourself?

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Written by
Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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