Carlos Alcaraz vs. Casper Ruud prediction, odds, picks for ATP Japan Open 2025

Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud will meet in the semifinals of the ATP Japan Open event on Monday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Carlos Alcaraz as the most likely winner of the match.

For further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Alcaraz vs. Ruud predictions page.

Alcaraz vs. Ruud prediction: Who will win and advance to the final?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Alcaraz-Ruud men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Alcaraz an 84% chance of beating Ruud at the ATP Japan Open tournament.

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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Casper Ruud odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Alcaraz	Ruud
Moneyline	-800	+550

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Alcaraz vs. Ruud picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in the Alcaraz vs. Ruud match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Alcaraz vs. Ruud updates and essential details

The ATP Japan Open match between Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud is scheduled to start on Monday at 5:00AM ET.

• Who: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Casper Ruud
• Date: Monday, September 29, 2025
• Approx. Time: 5:00AM ET/2:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Tokyo, Japan Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Semifinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers' in-depth preview of Monday's Alcaraz vs. Ruud match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Carlos Alcaraz vs. Casper Ruud picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key tennis betting guides and insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat Casper Ruud at the ATP Japan Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Alcaraz vs. Ruud insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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