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Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Prediction and Odds - Feb 18, 2023

NHL action continues on Saturday at 7:00PM ET as the Montreal Canadiens take on the favored Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.
Dimers' top betting picks for Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed below.
Who will win Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs?
Using cutting-edge computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Canadiens-Maple Leafs NHL matchup 10,000 times.
Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Maple Leafs a 74% chance of beating the Canadiens.
More: Free Betting Analysis for Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Current Odds
- Puck Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 (-155), Canadiens +1.5 (+135)
- Moneyline: Maple Leafs -425, Canadiens +340
- Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-110)
Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Maple Leafs are listed as -1.5 favorites versus the Canadiens, with -155 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
For the underdog Canadiens (+1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at +135.
DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -425, which means you can risk $425 to win $100, for a total payout of $525, if they get the W.
Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook also has the best moneyline odds for the Canadiens at +340, where you can bet $100 to profit $340, earning a total payout of $440, if they win.
The Over/Under is set at 6.5 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.
As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Maple Leafs (-1.5) are a 53% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals is a 52% chance of going Under.
More: Best Bets for Every NHL Matchup
Best Bets for Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs
- Puck Line: Canadiens +1.5 @ +135 via DraftKings Sportsbook (4.5% edge) 🔥
- Moneyline: Canadiens @ +340 via DraftKings Sportsbook (3.2% edge)
- Total: Under 6.5 @ -110 via PointsBet (52% probability)
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets today across any sport.
Dimers' best bets are based on world-class modeling and betting intelligence to help you make more informed decisions with the legal sportsbooks in America.
Although the Maple Leafs are more likely to cover the puck line, our best bet of Canadiens +1.5 is based on the expectation of that happening, according to DimersBOT, and the top odds available.
And while the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Canadiens moneyline is the best option due to the 3.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers.com is one of the keys to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Prediction
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Dimers has full coverage of Saturday's Canadiens-Maple Leafs matchup, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs? The data is in.
Featured below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Canadiens and Maple Leafs.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop bets for Saturday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs.
DimersBOT gives Matthews a 12.6% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 56.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Probabilities
Montreal Canadiens
- Rafael Harvey-Pinard: 7.9% probability
- Josh Anderson: 3.7% probability
- Nick Suzuki: 3.6% probability
- Mike Hoffman: 3.6% probability
- Evgenii Dadonov: 3.0% probability
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Auston Matthews: 12.6% probability
- William Nylander: 7.3% probability
- Mitch Marner: 6.7% probability
- John Tavares: 6.2% probability
- Michael Bunting: 6.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities
Montreal Canadiens
- Rafael Harvey-Pinard: 40.1% probability
- Evgenii Dadonov: 20.0% probability
- Josh Anderson: 19.9% probability
- Nick Suzuki: 19.4% probability
- Mike Hoffman: 18.8% probability
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Auston Matthews: 56.1% probability
- William Nylander: 36.6% probability
- Mitch Marner: 35.5% probability
- John Tavares: 32.9% probability
- Michael Bunting: 31.1% probability
Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so check this page for the latest betting analysis ahead of Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs on Saturday February 18, 2023.
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs 2023 Game Info
Saturday's matchup between the Maple Leafs and Canadiens at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Saturday February 18, 2023
- Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
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What other NHL games are on tonight?
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Want a pick for the Puck Line? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!