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Calgary Flames vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [3/7/2024]

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Written by Dimers Data
Calgary Flames vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [3/7/2024]

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Calgary Flames will lock horns in the NHL at Amalie Arena on Thursday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview for Thursday's Flames vs. Lightning matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

DIMERS PRO: For exclusive access to hundreds of data-driven bets daily across thousands of games, sign up to Dimers Pro. Launching 3/11/2024.

Flames vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used powerful machine learning and statistics to simulate the result of Thursday's NHL game between the Flames and Lightning 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NHL predictions.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lightning a 57% chance of defeating the Flames.

According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 53% chance of going under.

Flames vs. Lightning Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Flames Lightning
Puck Line +1.5 (-182) -1.5 (+160)
Moneyline +132 -155
Total o6.5 (-105) u6.5 (-114)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Flames vs. Lightning Picks

Our predictions, matched with the current odds, reveal the top betting picks for this game, detailed in Dimers' best NHL bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Puck Line Flames +1.5 -182
Moneyline Flames +132
Total Under 6.5 -114

While the Lightning are more likely to win the game, betting on the Flames moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Flames vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Flames vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Flames vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Point an 8.6% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 40.8% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Calgary Flames

Player First Goal Probability
Yegor Sharangovich 6.3%
Nazem Kadri 5.6%
Andrei Kuzmenko 4.7%
Blake Coleman 4.6%
Andrew Mangiapane 4.1%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player First Goal Probability
Brayden Point 8.6%
Nikita Kucherov 7.1%
Brandon Hagel 6.8%
Steven Stamkos 5.8%
Nick Paul 3.7%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Calgary Flames

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Yegor Sharangovich 33.0%
Nazem Kadri 29.8%
Andrei Kuzmenko 26.4%
Blake Coleman 24.4%
Jonathan Huberdeau 22.3%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point 40.8%
Nikita Kucherov 35.7%
Brandon Hagel 35.1%
Steven Stamkos 31.4%
Nick Paul 19.2%

Flames vs. Lightning Game Information

Thursday's action between the Lightning and Flames at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

 

Our full betting coverage of Flames vs. Lightning includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Conclusion

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate Flames vs. Lightning insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on NHL

Stay informed with the most recent NHL betting news and our analytics-driven NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the latest numbers and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

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Written by
Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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