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Flames vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Thursday's NHL Matchup [2/27/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.
The Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Calgary Flames in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Thursday, beginning at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Calgary-Tampa Bay game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Lightning with a win probability of 64% and the Flames with 36%."
For further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Flames vs. Lightning predictions page.
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Flames vs. Flames Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL game between the Flames and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Lightning a 64% chance of defeating the Flames.
According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6 goals has a 51% chance of going over.
Flames vs. Lightning Odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Flames | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-135) | -1.5 (+115) |
| Moneyline | +185 | -220 |
| Total | o6 (-105) | u6 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Flames vs. Lightning Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Flames vs. Lightning matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Flames vs. Lightning Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Flames vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Flames vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Point an 8.9% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 42.8% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri | 5.3% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 4.0% |
| Connor Zary | 3.9% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 8.9% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 8.6% |
| Jake Guentzel | 7.3% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri | 28.4% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 22.3% |
| Connor Zary | 20.7% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 42.8% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 40.1% |
| Jake Guentzel | 36.4% |
Flames vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's game between the Lightning and Flames at Amalie Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Calgary Flames vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Thursday, February 27, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Flames vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Calgary vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Flames on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flames vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL betting news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the latest probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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