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Buccaneers vs. Falcons Week 18 Prediction and Odds - Jan 8, 2023

The Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers lock horns in Week 18 of the NFL season at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.
Dimers' top betting picks for Buccaneers vs. Falcons, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured in this article.
Who will win Buccaneers vs. Falcons?
Using advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Buccaneers-Falcons NFL game 10,000 times.
Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Falcons a 68% chance of winning against the Buccaneers in Week 18 of the NFL season.
More: Buccaneers vs. Falcons Simulated 10,000 Times
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Odds
- Spread: Falcons -4 (-110), Buccaneers +4 (-110)
- Moneyline: Falcons -235, Buccaneers +220
- Total: Over/Under 40 (-110/-110)
Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Falcons are -4 favorites against the Buccaneers, with -110 at Caesars Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
For the underdog Buccaneers (+4) to cover the spread, Caesars Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on the market at -110.
FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Falcons at -235, which means you can risk $235 to win $100, for a total payout of $335, if they get the W.
Elsewhere, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Buccaneers at +220, where you can bet $100 to profit $220, earning a total payout of $320, if they win.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 40 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.
As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Buccaneers (+4) are a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 40 points is a 57% chance of going Over.
More: Best Prop Bets to Make Today
Best Bets for Buccaneers vs. Falcons
- Spread: Buccaneers +4 @ -110 via Caesars Sportsbook (59% probability) 🔥
- Moneyline: Buccaneers @ +220 via BetMGM (0.3% edge)
- Total: Over 40 @ -110 via PointsBet (57% probability) 🔥
Any time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Dimers' best free picks of the day across all sports.
Our best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible plays 24/7/365.
While the Falcons are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Buccaneers moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Prediction
Dimers.com's predicted final score for Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 18 has the Falcons winning 23-18.
Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.
Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Buccaneers-Falcons matchup in Week 18, including pregame predictions, free betting picks, and live win probabilities.
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Player Props
Who will score the first touchdown in Buccaneers vs. Falcons? The data is in.
Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Buccaneers and Falcons, as well as player stat projections.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Atlanta's Tyler Allgeier is most likely to score the first TD in Buccaneers vs. Falcons.
DimersBOT gives Allgeier an 11.6% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 44.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Mike Evans: 6.5% probability
- Chris Godwin: 5.6% probability
- Leonard Fournette: 5.4% probability
- Russell Gage: 4.7% probability
- Rachaad White: 4.4% probability
Atlanta Falcons
- Tyler Allgeier: 11.6% probability
- Desmond Ridder: 11.1% probability
- Drake London: 9.4% probability
- Cordarrelle Patterson: 6.5% probability
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 3.1% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Mike Evans: 26.2% probability
- Leonard Fournette: 23.1% probability
- Chris Godwin: 23.1% probability
- Russell Gage: 20.4% probability
- Rachaad White: 19.8% probability
Atlanta Falcons
- Tyler Allgeier: 44.1% probability
- Desmond Ridder: 42.6% probability
- Drake London: 35.8% probability
- Cordarrelle Patterson: 27.1% probability
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 14.0% probability
Buccaneers-Falcons Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Buccaneers' Tom Brady is projected to have a quiet game with 148 passing yards, while the Falcons' Desmond Ridder is expected to throw for 217 yards.
Buccaneers Starting QB
- Tom Brady: 148 projected yards
Falcons Starting QB
- Desmond Ridder: 217 projected yards
Buccaneers Rushing
- Rachaad White: 50 projected yards
- Ke'Shawn Vaughn: 29 projected yards
- Leonard Fournette: 18 projected yards
Falcons Rushing
- Tyler Allgeier: 73 projected yards
- Cordarrelle Patterson: 42 projected yards
- Desmond Ridder: 26 projected yards
Buccaneers Receiving
- Mike Evans: 46 projected yards
- Chris Godwin: 40 projected yards
- Cade Otton: 36 projected yards
- Russell Gage: 35 projected yards
- Rachaad White: 26 projected yards
Falcons Receiving
- Drake London: 61 projected yards
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 27 projected yards
- Parker Hesse: 17 projected yards
- KhaDarel Hodge: 16 projected yards
- Damiere Byrd: 16 projected yards
Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Buccaneers vs. Falcons on Sunday January 8, 2023.
Buccaneers vs. Falcons 2023
The NFL Week 18 game between the Falcons and Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Sunday January 8, 2023
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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