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Browns vs. Bills Week 11 Prediction and Odds - Nov 20, 2022

The Buffalo Bills and Cleveland Browns clash in Week 11 of the NFL season at Ford Field on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.
Dimers' top betting picks for Browns vs. Bills, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured below.
Who will win Browns vs. Bills?
Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Browns-Bills NFL matchup 10,000 times.
Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Bills a 75% chance of beating the Browns in Week 11 of the NFL season.
More: Browns vs. Bills Simulated 10K Times
Browns vs. Bills Week 11 Odds
- Spread: Bills -7.5 (-105), Browns +7.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Bills -350, Browns +300
- Total: Over/Under 50 (-110/-110)
Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Bills are currently -7.5 favorites versus the Browns, with -105 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.
For the underdog Browns (+7.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at -105.
BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bills at -350. That means you can risk $350 to win $100, for a total payout of $450, if they get the W.
Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Browns at +300, where you can bet $100 to profit $300, earning a total payout of $400, if they win.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 50 with Caesars Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.
As always, check out all the sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Bills (-7.5) are a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 50 points is a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Free Prop Picks
Best Bets for Browns vs. Bills
- Spread: Bills -7.5 @ -105 via PointsBet (52% probability)
- Moneyline: Browns @ +300 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- Total: Over 50 @ -110 via Caesars Sportsbook (51% probability)
Dimers' best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting expertise to help you make more informed investments with the legal sportsbooks in your state.
While the Bills are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Browns moneyline is the best option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers.com is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.
Browns vs. Bills Prediction
Dimers.com's predicted final score for Cleveland vs. Buffalo at Ford Field in Week 11 has the Bills winning 29-21.
Click or tap on See Matchup for more.
Dimers has full coverage of this week's Browns-Bills matchup in Week 11, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.
Browns vs. Bills Player Props
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Browns vs. Bills? The latest data is in.
Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Browns and Bills, as well as player stat projections.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Buffalo's Stefon Diggs is most likely to score the first touchdown in Browns vs. Bills.
DimersBOT gives Diggs a 13.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Ford Field, while the Bills WR is a 56.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Cleveland Browns
- Nick Chubb: 12.4% probability
- Amari Cooper: 6.4% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 6.4% probability
- David Njoku: 5.4% probability
- Donovan Peoples-Jones: 5.3% probability
Buffalo Bills
- Stefon Diggs: 13.3% probability
- Josh Allen: 8.6% probability
- Gabe Davis: 8.0% probability
- Devin Singletary: 7.0% probability
- Isaiah McKenzie: 5.4% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Cleveland Browns
- Nick Chubb: 54.6% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 32.7% probability
- Amari Cooper: 32.4% probability
- David Njoku: 28.2% probability
- Donovan Peoples-Jones: 27.0% probability
Buffalo Bills
- Stefon Diggs: 56.0% probability
- Josh Allen: 39.4% probability
- Gabe Davis: 38.5% probability
- Devin Singletary: 35.2% probability
- Isaiah McKenzie: 28.0% probability
Browns-Bills Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Browns' Jacoby Brissett is projected for 197 passing yards. The Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for a whopping 278 yards.
Browns Starting QB
- Jacoby Brissett: 197 projected yards
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 278 projected yards
Browns Rushing
- Nick Chubb: 92 projected yards
- Kareem Hunt: 43 projected yards
- Jacoby Brissett: 13 projected yards
Bills Rushing
- Josh Allen: 54 projected yards
- Devin Singletary: 52 projected yards
- James Cook: 13 projected yards
Browns Receiving
- Donovan Peoples-Jones: 67 projected yards
- Amari Cooper: 60 projected yards
- David Njoku: 45 projected yards
- Kareem Hunt: 23 projected yards
- David Bell: 21 projected yards
Bills Receiving
- Stefon Diggs: 95 projected yards
- Gabe Davis: 76 projected yards
- Dawson Knox: 28 projected yards
- Isaiah McKenzie: 24 projected yards
- Devin Singletary: 21 projected yards
Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so keep checking this article for the latest betting insights before Browns vs. Bills on Sunday November 20, 2022.
Browns vs. Bills 2022
The NFL Week 11 matchup between the Bills and Browns at Ford Field is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Browns vs. Buffalo Bills
- Date: Sunday November 20, 2022
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: Ford Field
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