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Browns vs. Bills Week 11 Prediction and Odds - Nov 20, 2022

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Written by Dimers Data
Browns vs. Bills Week 11 Prediction and Odds - Nov 20, 2022

The Buffalo Bills and Cleveland Browns clash in Week 11 of the NFL season at Ford Field on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Browns vs. Bills, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured below.

 

Who will win Browns vs. Bills?

Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Browns-Bills NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Bills a 75% chance of beating the Browns in Week 11 of the NFL season.

More: Browns vs. Bills Simulated 10K Times

Browns vs. Bills Week 11 Odds

  • Spread: Bills -7.5 (-105), Browns +7.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Bills -350, Browns +300
  • Total: Over/Under 50 (-110/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Bills are currently -7.5 favorites versus the Browns, with -105 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Browns (+7.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at -105.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bills at -350. That means you can risk $350 to win $100, for a total payout of $450, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Browns at +300, where you can bet $100 to profit $300, earning a total payout of $400, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 50 with Caesars Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out all the sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Bills (-7.5) are a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 50 points is a 51% chance of going Over.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets for Browns vs. Bills

 

Dimers' best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting expertise to help you make more informed investments with the legal sportsbooks in your state.

While the Bills are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Browns moneyline is the best option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers.com is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.

Browns vs. Bills Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Cleveland vs. Buffalo at Ford Field in Week 11 has the Bills winning 29-21.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

 

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Browns-Bills matchup in Week 11, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Browns vs. Bills Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Browns vs. Bills? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Browns and Bills, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Buffalo's Stefon Diggs is most likely to score the first touchdown in Browns vs. Bills.

DimersBOT gives Diggs a 13.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Ford Field, while the Bills WR is a 56.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

 

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Cleveland Browns

  • Nick Chubb: 12.4% probability
  • Amari Cooper: 6.4% probability
  • Kareem Hunt: 6.4% probability
  • David Njoku: 5.4% probability
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones: 5.3% probability

Buffalo Bills

  • Stefon Diggs: 13.3% probability
  • Josh Allen: 8.6% probability
  • Gabe Davis: 8.0% probability
  • Devin Singletary: 7.0% probability
  • Isaiah McKenzie: 5.4% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Cleveland Browns

  • Nick Chubb: 54.6% probability
  • Kareem Hunt: 32.7% probability
  • Amari Cooper: 32.4% probability
  • David Njoku: 28.2% probability
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones: 27.0% probability

Buffalo Bills

  • Stefon Diggs: 56.0% probability
  • Josh Allen: 39.4% probability
  • Gabe Davis: 38.5% probability
  • Devin Singletary: 35.2% probability
  • Isaiah McKenzie: 28.0% probability

Browns-Bills Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Browns' Jacoby Brissett is projected for 197 passing yards. The Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for a whopping 278 yards.

Browns Starting QB

  • Jacoby Brissett: 197 projected yards

Bills Starting QB

  • Josh Allen: 278 projected yards

Browns Rushing

  • Nick Chubb: 92 projected yards
  • Kareem Hunt: 43 projected yards
  • Jacoby Brissett: 13 projected yards

Bills Rushing

  • Josh Allen: 54 projected yards
  • Devin Singletary: 52 projected yards
  • James Cook: 13 projected yards

Browns Receiving

  • Donovan Peoples-Jones: 67 projected yards
  • Amari Cooper: 60 projected yards
  • David Njoku: 45 projected yards
  • Kareem Hunt: 23 projected yards
  • David Bell: 21 projected yards

Bills Receiving

  • Stefon Diggs: 95 projected yards
  • Gabe Davis: 76 projected yards
  • Dawson Knox: 28 projected yards
  • Isaiah McKenzie: 24 projected yards
  • Devin Singletary: 21 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so keep checking this article for the latest betting insights before Browns vs. Bills on Sunday November 20, 2022.

 

Browns vs. Bills 2022

The NFL Week 11 matchup between the Bills and Browns at Ford Field is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

  • Who: Cleveland Browns vs. Buffalo Bills
  • Date: Sunday November 20, 2022
  • Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
  • Venue: Ford Field

Ready to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL now? Check out the top sports betting sign-up offers in your state.

Want more NFL previews like this?

So, you liked our Browns vs. Bills betting analysis? Awesome. Did you know our NFL Betting News section has a comprehensive betting preview for every NFL matchup as soon as the sportsbooks put out their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds against its own probabilities to find value in the markets. This allows us to write the most reliable NFL betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.

It's only a click away, so why not see for yourself?

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Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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