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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Thursday's MLB Matchup [5/1/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays matchup.

Boston Red Sox-Toronto Blue Jays Predictions and Game Preview.
Rogers Centre sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays this Thursday.

The Toronto Blue Jays will take on the Boston Red Sox, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Rogers Centre on Thursday, commencing at 7:07PM ET.

José Berríos (1-1, 4.24 ERA) will get the ball for the Blue Jays, while the Red Sox will counter with Tanner Houck (0-2, 7.58 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Blue Jays as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Boston-Toronto game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Blue Jays with a win probability of 51% and the Red Sox with 49%."

For further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Red Sox vs. Blue Jays predictions page.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB game between the Red Sox and Blue Jays 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Blue Jays a 51% chance of defeating the Red Sox.

According to our model, the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 59% chance of staying under.

 

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds [5/1/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Red Sox Blue Jays
Moneyline -120 +106
Total o9.5 (+104) u9.5 (-138)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB action between the Blue Jays and Red Sox at Rogers Centre is scheduled to start at 7:07PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Boston vs. Toronto picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Blue Jays, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Red Sox vs. Blue Jays insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the latest predictions for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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