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Red Sox vs. Rays prediction: Cy Young candidate Garrett Crochet takes on Tampa Bay tonight [9/19/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays predictions for MLB Friday.

Boston Red Sox-Tampa Bay Rays Predictions and Game Preview.
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB prediction for Friday, September 19, 2025.

The Tampa Bay Rays will take on the Boston Red Sox in MLB action at George M. Steinbrenner Field on Friday, starting at 7:35PM ET.

The Rays will start Drew Rasmussen (10-5, 2.74 ERA), while the Red Sox have opted for Cy Young hopeful Garrett Crochet (16-5, 2.63 ERA).

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Red Sox as the most likely winner of today's game.

For a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Red Sox vs. Rays predictions page.

Rays vs. Red Sox prediction: Who will win, cover the run line?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB game between the Red Sox and Rays 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Red Sox a 56% chance of defeating the Rays.

According to our model, the Rays (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the 6.5-run over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

 

Red Sox vs. Rays odds [9/19/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Red Sox Rays
Run Line -1.5 (+136) +1.5 (-158)
Moneyline -135 +118
Total o6.5 (-104) u6.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Red Sox vs. Rays picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Red Sox vs. Rays matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's free ⚾️ picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the predictions featured below.

Red Sox vs. Rays game-day updates and essential details

Friday's MLB game between the Rays and Red Sox at George M. Steinbrenner Field is scheduled to begin at 7:35PM ET.

Dimers' comprehensive preview of Friday's Red Sox vs. Rays matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Red Sox vs. Rays picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Red Sox, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Rays on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Red Sox vs. Rays insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on MLB

Stay informed with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most up-to-date probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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